Aryna Sabalenka vs Heather Watson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
A. Sabalenka vs H. Watson
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
w
w
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
27
Age
33
1.82m
Height
1.70m
1
C. Rank
265
1
Best Rank
38
21
Total Titles
4
4
YTD Titles
0
$36.5M
Career Money
$2.7M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Heather Watson
GBR
w
w
l
l
w
l
l
l
l
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
27
Age
33
1.82m
Height
1.70m
1
C. Rank
265
1
Best Rank
38
21
Total Titles
4
4
YTD Titles
0
$36.5M
Career Money
$2.7M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Head-to-head: Sabalenka 1 - 1 Watson
They have played 5 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 3 and Heather Watson winning 2. The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Heather Watson was at the Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati, 12-08-2017, Round: Q1, Surface: Hard, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 7-6(4) 6-4.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Sabalenka | 1 |
| Watson | 1 |
Last 2 H2H Matches:
(Q1) Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-12-17)
Aryna Sabalenka
7
6
Heather Watson
6
4
(R1) Cagnes-Sur-Mer(05-09-17)
Heather Watson
7
4
6
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
2
A. Sabalenka vs H. Watson H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $36,531,203 | Career Prize Money | $2,704,519 |
| 70.78% (487-201) | Career Total W/L | 54.43% (436-365) |
| 0 | Clay | 1 |
| 1 | Hard | 0 |
| 27 | Titles | 12 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 1 |
| 84.00% (63-12) | YTD Win/Loss | 25.00% (1-3) |
| 4 | YTD Titles | 0 |
A. Sabalenka vs H. Watson Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Aryna Sabalenka has won 41.44% of points on their second serve, while Heather Watson has won 43.76%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Aryna Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 46.61% of their opponent's second serve points, while Heather Watson has won 49.49%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.40% and 27.76% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Aryna Sabalenka has saved 52.41% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Heather Watson has saved 45.61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Aryna Sabalenka has won 84.00% of matches played (W/L 63/12), with Heather Watson winning 43.75% (W/L 14/18) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Aryna Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 296/104), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 64% (W/L 45/25). Heather Watson has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 74% (W/L 77/46), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 49% (W/L 58/60).
- Player level: In the last year, Aryna Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 81.58% of matches (W/L 31/7), where as Heather Watson has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 64.29% of matches (W/L 9/5). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Aryna Sabalenka winning 1 times and Heather Watson being victorious 1 times. They have played 5 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 3 and Heather Watson winning 2.
- The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Heather Watson was at the Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati, 12-08-2017, Round: Q1, Surface: Hard, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 7-6(4) 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:7:39.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Aryna Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 48.91 while Heather Watson has played against players with an average rank of 159.94.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Aryna Sabalenka has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Heather Watson has won 60% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Aryna Sabalenka has converted 32.48% of breakpoint opportunities, and Heather Watson has converted 32.18% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Heather Watson Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
A. Sabalenka vs H. Watson H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 1 |
| 3 | Sets Won | 2 |
| 27 | Games Won | 27 |
| 13 | Aces (Total) | 11 |
| 15 | Total Double Faults | 10 |
| 2:7:39 | Average Match Time | 2:7:39 |
| 51% (99/195) | 1st Serve % | 56% (100/180) |
| 68% (67/99) | 1st Serve Win % | 66% (66/100) |
| 43% (41/96) | 2nd Serve Win % | 38% (30/80) |
| 48% (10/21) | Break Pts Won % | 48% (10/21) |
| 47% (84/180) | Return Points Win % | 45% (87/195) |
| 50% (1/2) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 50% (1/2) |
| 0% (0/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Sabalenka 51%, Watson 44%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Sabalenka 59%, Watson 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Sabalenka 65%, Watson 55%.
A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
F  Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina | L | 6-3 7-6(0) | ||
SF  Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova | W | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | ||
Robin Cori GauffC. Gauff | W | 7-6(5) 6-2 | ||
Robin Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula | W | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | ||
Robin  Jasmine PaoliniJ. Paolini | W | 6-3 6-1 | ||
H. Watson Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
Q1  Ekaterine GorgodzeE. Gorgodze | L | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025 | ||||
Q1  Anastasia ZakharovaA. Zakharova | L | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Eupago Porto Open - Porto - 14-07-2025 | ||||
R1  Angelina VoloshchukA. Voloshchuk | L | 6-4 ret. | ||
 Wimbledon - London - 30-06-2025 | ||||
R1  Clara TausonC. Tauson | L | 2-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Rothesay International - Eastbourne - 23-06-2025 | ||||
Q3 Kamilla RakhimovaK. Rakhimova | L | 6-4 6-1 | ||
A. Sabalenka vs H. Watson Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 70.78% (487/201) | YTD Win/Loss | 54.43% (436/365) |
| 66.60% (1075/539) | Sets Win/Loss | 53.35% (996/871) |
| 56.17% (8480/6618) | Games Win/Loss | 51.98% (9088/8395) |
| 74.00% (296/104) | Hard Win/Loss | 53.77% (228/196) |
| 66.67% (100/50) | Clay Win/Loss | 49.15% (58/60) |
| 65.79% (50/26) | Indoor Hard W/L | 64.12% (84/47) |
| 66.13% (41/21) | Grass Win/Loss | 51.56% (66/62) |
| 0.39 | Aces Per Game | 0.28 |
| 2856 | Aces Total | 2428 |
| 0.39 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.27 |
| 2867 | Total Double Faults | 2324 |
| 1st Match | Average Match Time | 1:26:19 |
| 285.89 | Average Opponent Rank | 443.36 |
| 61% (27907/46123) | 1st Serve % | 60% (30138/50443) |
| 69% (19218/27907) | 1st Serve Win % | 65% (19664/30138) |
| 47% (8619/18205) | 2nd Serve Win % | 45% (9127/20294) |
| 47% (2590/5538) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 45% (2686/5914) |
| 45% (20595/45860) | Return Points Win % | 44% (22126/50162) |
| 77.78% (105/30) | Slam W/L | 42.99% (46/61) |
| 71.16% (153/62) | Masters W/L | 44.96% (58/71) |
| 62.50% (10/6) | Cups W/L | 65.71% (23/12) |
| 67.93% (125/59) | Main Tour W/L | 51.91% (163/151) |
| 64.89% (61/33) | Challenger W/L | 66.67% (138/69) |
| 75.00% (33/11) | Futures W/L | 88.89% (8/1) |
| 71% (484/684) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 54% (431/792) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 61% (112/183) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 50% (104/207) |
| 57% (137/241) | Deciding Set Win % | 53% (144/272) |
| 89% (464/414) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 85% (420/358) |
| 11% (464/49) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 15% (420/61) |
| 32% (224/72) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 20% (381/77) |
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