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Andy Murray vs Novak Djokovic Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Murray vs Djokovic analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Andy Murray vs Novak Djokovic Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Murray 11 - 25 Djokovic

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Murray has won 51.25% of points on their second serve, while Djokovic has won 54.9%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Murray, in recent form, has won 48.8% of their opponent's second serve points, while Djokovic has won 54.14%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.56% and 34.25% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Murray has saved 55.96% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Djokovic has saved 62.16% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Murray has won 41.67% of matches played (W/L 15/ 21), with Djokovic winning 83.64% (W/L 46/ 9) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Murray has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 78% (W/L 137/ 38), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 144/ 66). Djokovic has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 86% (W/L 119/ 20), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 200/ 52).
  • Player level: In the last year, Murray has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 33.33% of matches (W/L 6/ 12), where as Djokovic has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 91.67% of matches (W/L 22/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 36 times before with Murray winning 11 times and Djokovic being victorious 25 times. They have played 100 sets in total, with Murray winning 39 and Djokovic winning 61. The last match between Murray and Djokovic was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 05-05-2022, Third, Clay with Novak Djokovic getting the victory w/o.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:58:44.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Murray and Djokovic have played a deciding set 11 times, with Murray winning 2 times and Djokovic 9 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 16 tiebreaks against each other with Murray winning 8, and Djokovic 8.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Murray has played against opponents with an average rank of 103.31 while Djokovic has played against players with an average rank of 88.49.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Murray has won 33% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Djokovic has won 65% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Murray has converted 32.65% of breakpoint opportunities, and Djokovic has converted 45.62% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Andy Murray

55

Total

14

Mast

5

Chall

3

Slam

26

Main

4

Minor

129

Rank

1

High

37

Age

R

Plays

11

Total

25

7

Hard

16

1

Clay

5

1

Indoor

4

2

Grass

0

3

Rank

1

High

37

Age

R

Plays

Novak Djokovic

103

Total

40

Mast

3

Chall

24

Slam

27

Main

2

Minor

11

Total

25

7

Hard

16

1

Clay

5

1

Indoor

4

2

Grass

0

W W L W L L L L W L

Form

W L W L W L W W W W

74% (840-297)

Career Total W/L

83% (1206-243)

35% (7-13)

YTD W/L

74% (17-6)

$44,771,615

Career Prize Money

$128,500,285

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Murray VS Djokovic H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Andy Murray Novak Djokovic
All H2H Matches 11 25
Sets Won 39 61
Games Won 438 540
Aces (Total) 203 150
DFs Total 109 77
Avg Match Time 1:58:44 1:58:44
1st Serve % 58% (1855/3186) 63% (1975/3113)
1st Serve Win% 68% (1258/1855) 68% (1337/1975)
2nd Serve Win% 44% (591/1331) 54% (619/1138)
BPs Won% (Total) 39% (102/264) 43% (150/349)
Return Points W% 37% (1157/3118) 42% (1337/3190)
Best of 3 Sets W% 35% (9/26) 65% (17/26)
Best of 5 Sets W% 20% (2/10) 80% (8/10)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (8/16) 50% (8/16)
Deciding Set Win% 18% (2/11) 82% (9/11)
1st set W, W 69% (16/11) 100% (20/20)
1st set W, L 31% (16/5) 0% (20/0)
1st set L, W 0% (20/0) 31% (16/5)

Murray VS Djokovic H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
w/o
6-3 5-7 6-4
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Andy Murray
72% ( 79 of 110)
1st Serve %
60% ( 50 of 84)
2
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
4
68% ( 54 of 79)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 39 of 50)
61% ( 19 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
34% ( 37 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 29 of 84)
102
Total Points Won
92
6-3 6-4
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Novak Djokovic
54% ( 32 of 59)
1st Serve %
72% ( 44 of 61)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
0
84% ( 27 of 32)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 11 of 17)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
32% ( 19 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 24 of 61)
64
Total Points Won
56
3-6 6-1 6-2 6-4
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Andy Murray
69% ( 76 of 110)
1st Serve %
50% ( 55 of 109)
4
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
64% ( 49 of 76)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 34 of 55)
59% ( 20 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 22 of 54)
50% ( 7 of 14)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
37% ( 41 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 53 of 109)
122
Total Points Won
97
6-3 6-3
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Novak Djokovic
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve %
57% ( 32 of 56)
5
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
82% ( 31 of 38)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 20 of 32)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
31% ( 18 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 24 of 56)
65
Total Points Won
50
6-2 3-6 6-3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Andy Murray
72% ( 59 of 82)
1st Serve %
71% ( 53 of 75)
2
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
2
73% ( 43 of 59)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 36 of 53)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 7 of 22)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
33% ( 27 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
87
Total Points Won
70
6-1 7-5 7-6(3)
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Andy Murray
66% ( 73 of 111)
1st Serve %
64% ( 71 of 111)
7
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
5
74% ( 54 of 73)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 48 of 71)
53% ( 20 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 14 of 40)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 37 of 111)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 49 of 111)
123
Total Points Won
99
6-2 6-4
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Andy Murray
63% ( 30 of 48)
1st Serve %
54% ( 36 of 67)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
67% ( 20 of 30)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 23 of 36)
72% ( 13 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 15 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 33 of 67)
66
Total Points Won
49
6-1 6-3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Andy Murray
74% ( 28 of 38)
1st Serve %
46% ( 22 of 48)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
82% ( 23 of 28)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 13 of 22)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 7 of 26)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
24% ( 9 of 38)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 28 of 48)
57
Total Points Won
29
6-4 4-6 6-3
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Novak Djokovic
60% ( 75 of 124)
1st Serve %
60% ( 64 of 106)
8
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
2
69% ( 52 of 75)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 42 of 64)
45% ( 22 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 20 of 42)
21% ( 4 of 19)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
40% ( 50 of 124)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 106)
118
Total Points Won
112
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Andy Murray Novak Djokovic
YTD W/L 35% (7/13) 74% (17/6)
Sets Win/Loss 38% (18/30) 68% (47/22)
Games Win/Loss 47% (221/252) 58% (371/274)
Hard Win/Loss 45% (5/6) 73% (8/3)
Clay Win/Loss 25% (1/3) 75% (9/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/2) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 33% (1/2) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.48 0.48
Aces Total 112 150
DFs per game 0.16 0.14
DFs Total 37 44
Avg Match Time 1st Match 2:24:42
Avg Opp Rank 91.45 106.09
1st Serve % 59% (850/1449) 64% (1258/1972)
1st Serve W% 73% (617/850) 73% (922/1258)
2nd Serve W% 51% (307/599) 55% (392/714)
BPs Won% Total 33% (32/98) 46% (99/217)
Return Pts W% 34% (523/1517) 42% (835/1996)
Slam W/L 0% (0/2) 90% (9/1)
Masters W/L 60% (3/2) 63% (5/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 27% (3/8) 60% (3/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 41% (7/17) 62% (8/13)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 90% (9/10)
TBs Win% (Total) 44% (4/9) 63% (5/8)
Deciding Set W% 43% (3/7) 57% (4/7)
1st set W, W 63% (8/5) 100% (17/17)
1st set W, L 38% (8/3) 0% (17/0)
1st set L, W 17% (12/2) 0% (6/0)

Andy Murray Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Andy Murray
50% ( 5 of 10)
1st Serve %
56% ( 9 of 16)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
100% ( 5 of 5)
1st Serve Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
60% ( 3 of 5)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 2 of 10)
Rtn Points Won
63% ( 10 of 16)
18
Total Points Won
8
L
4-1 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Alexei Popyrin
67% ( 56 of 83)
1st Serve %
60% ( 45 of 75)
9
Aces
12
4
Double Faults
3
77% ( 43 of 56)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 37 of 45)
56% ( 15 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 25 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 24 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
76
W
6-3 3-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Marcos Giron
Player
Andy Murray
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve %
69% ( 34 of 49)
7
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 9 of 15)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
29% ( 18 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 17 of 49)
62
Total Points Won
50
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Stan Wawrinka
Player
Andy Murray
54% ( 48 of 89)
1st Serve %
56% ( 45 of 81)
3
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
79% ( 38 of 48)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 32 of 45)
56% ( 23 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
31% ( 28 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 31 of 81)
92
Total Points Won
78
L
6-4 6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Yannick Hanfmann
Player
Andy Murray
72% ( 43 of 60)
1st Serve %
40% ( 23 of 57)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
74% ( 32 of 43)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
28% ( 17 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 24 of 57)
67
Total Points Won
50
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Gregoire Barrere
Player
Andy Murray
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve %
43% ( 24 of 56)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
69% ( 25 of 36)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
35% ( 9 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 11 of 32)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
45% ( 28 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Kyrian Jacquet
45% ( 20 of 44)
1st Serve %
60% ( 24 of 40)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
90% ( 18 of 20)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
30% ( 13 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 18 of 40)
49
Total Points Won
35
W
7-5 2-0 ret. H2H
R3
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Andy Murray
59% ( 77 of 130)
1st Serve %
56% ( 62 of 110)
6
Aces
15
3
Double Faults
3
75% ( 58 of 77)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 51 of 62)
51% ( 27 of 53)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 21 of 48)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
13% ( 2 of 15)
35% ( 45 of 130)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 38 of 110)
123
Total Points Won
117
L
5-7 7-5 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
60% ( 41 of 68)
1st Serve %
68% ( 52 of 76)
10
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
83% ( 34 of 41)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 33 of 52)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 14 of 24)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
24% ( 16 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 29 of 76)
81
Total Points Won
63
W
7-6(0) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Matteo Berrettini
67% ( 56 of 83)
1st Serve %
64% ( 68 of 107)
9
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
0
79% ( 44 of 56)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 51 of 68)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
25% ( 21 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 38 of 107)
100
Total Points Won
90
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H

Novak Djokovic Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
L
w/o H2H
R4
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
67% ( 123 of 183)
1st Serve %
65% ( 95 of 146)
6
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
69% ( 85 of 123)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 58 of 95)
50% ( 30 of 60)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 32 of 51)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
21% ( 4 of 19)
37% ( 68 of 183)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 56 of 146)
171
Total Points Won
158
W
6-1 5-7 3-6 7-5 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
65% ( 90 of 139)
1st Serve %
60% ( 87 of 145)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
69% ( 62 of 90)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 51 of 87)
49% ( 24 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 30 of 58)
60% ( 9 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 5 of 5)
38% ( 53 of 139)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 64 of 145)
150
Total Points Won
134
W
7-5 6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
63% ( 46 of 73)
1st Serve %
62% ( 48 of 78)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
72% ( 33 of 46)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 23 of 48)
59% ( 16 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
58% ( 7 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
33% ( 24 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 43 of 78)
92
Total Points Won
59
W
6-4 6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
68% ( 56 of 82)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
4
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
7
84% ( 47 of 56)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 46 of 65)
73% ( 19 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 19 of 37)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
20% ( 16 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 102)
103
Total Points Won
81
W
6-4 7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Novak Djokovic
61% ( 46 of 75)
1st Serve %
65% ( 60 of 92)
4
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
59% ( 27 of 46)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 38 of 60)
48% ( 14 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 11 of 32)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
45% ( 34 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 43 of 92)
84
Total Points Won
83
L
6-4 0-6 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Yannick Hanfmann
66% ( 45 of 68)
1st Serve %
84% ( 42 of 50)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
0
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 24 of 42)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
9% ( 1 of 11)
35% ( 24 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 23 of 50)
67
Total Points Won
51
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Alejandro Tabilo
Player
Novak Djokovic
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve %
52% ( 27 of 52)
4
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
5
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
75% ( 9 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 10 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 52)
54
Total Points Won
40
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Corentin Moutet
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve %
76% ( 45 of 59)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
65% ( 17 of 26)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
33% ( 14 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 33 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
40
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Novak Djokovic
56% ( 44 of 78)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 79)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
44% ( 34 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 29 of 79)
73
Total Points Won
84
L
6-4 1-6 6-4 H2H

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