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Andy Murray vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Murray vs Shapovalov analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Andy Murray vs Denis Shapovalov Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Murray has won 50.83% of points on his second serve, while Shapovalov has won 48.35%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Murray, in recent form, has won 48.19% of his opponent's second serve points, while Shapovalov has won 46.98%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.65% and 29.62% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Murray has saved 59.8% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Shapovalov has saved 65.28% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Murray has won 58.33% of matches played (W/L 28/ 20), with Shapovalov winning 46.43% (W/L 13/ 15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Murray has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 79% (W/L 136/ 36), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 143/ 63). Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 72/ 42), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 21/ 21).
  • Player level: In the last year, Murray has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 93.75% of matches (W/L 15/ 1), where as Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 35.71% of matches (W/L 5/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Murray winning 2 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Murray winning 4 and Shapovalov winning 5. The last match between Murray and Shapovalov was at the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai, 26-02-2024, First, Hard with Andy Murray getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:19:21.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Murray and Shapovalov have played a deciding set 2 times, with Murray winning 2 times and Shapovalov 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Murray winning 1, and Shapovalov 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Murray has played against opponents with an average rank of 149.06 while Shapovalov has played against players with an average rank of 117.36.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Murray has won 39% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Shapovalov has won 25% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Murray has converted 33.98% of breakpoint opportunities, and Shapovalov has converted 32.41% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Murray 2 - 1 Shapovalov

Andy Murray

55

Total

14

Mast

5

Chall

3

Slam

26

Main

4

Minor

56

Rank

1

High

36

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

1

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

121

Rank

10

High

25

Age

L

Plays

Denis Shapovalov

7

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

4

Minor

2

Total

1

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

L W L W L W L W W L

Form

W W L L W L W W L L

74% (838-292)

Career Total W/L

60% (283-192)

38% (5-8)

YTD W/L

40% (6-9)

$44,738,625

Career Prize Money

$7,812,745

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Murray VS Shapovalov H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Andy Murray Denis Shapovalov
All H2H Matches 2 1
Sets Won 4 5
Games Won 40 42
Aces (Total) 7 30
DFs (Total) 3 14
Avg Match Time 2:19:21 2:19:21
1st Serve % 65% (159/246) 61% (169/276)
1st Serve Win% 69% (109/159) 69% (117/169)
2nd Serve Win% 53% (46/87) 51% (55/107)
BPs Won% (Total) 31% (8/26) 45% (9/20)
Return Points W% 38% (104/276) 37% (91/246)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 50% (2/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 50% (2/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 0% (1/0)

Murray VS Shapovalov H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
4-6 7-6(5) 6-3
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Denis Shapovalov
69% ( 67 of 97)
1st Serve %
56% ( 57 of 102)
3
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
10
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 44 of 57)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
32% ( 31 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 102)
103
Total Points Won
96
6-1 3-6 6-2
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Denis Shapovalov
65% ( 45 of 69)
1st Serve %
76% ( 63 of 83)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
1
78% ( 35 of 45)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 38 of 63)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 21 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 35 of 83)
83
Total Points Won
69
6-4 6-2 6-2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Andy Murray
54% ( 49 of 91)
1st Serve %
59% ( 47 of 80)
13
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
71% ( 35 of 49)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 24 of 47)
57% ( 24 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 17 of 33)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
35% ( 32 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 39 of 80)
98
Total Points Won
73

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Andy Murray Denis Shapovalov
YTD W/L 38% (5/8) 40% (6/9)
Sets Win/Loss 42% (14/19) 44% (16/20)
Games Win/Loss 49% (166/176) 52% (185/174)
Hard Win/Loss 45% (5/6) 38% (3/5)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/2) 50% (3/3)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.53 0.88
Aces Total 89 156
DFs per game 0.14 0.49
DFs Total 24 88
Avg Match Time 2:19:36 1:45:28
Avg Opp Rank 72.46 113.33
1st Serve % 60% (639/1063) 58% (637/1092)
1st Serve W% 74% (472/639) 78% (500/637)
2nd Serve W% 52% (219/424) 48% (220/455)
BPs Won% Total 31% (25/80) 32% (35/108)
Return Pts W% 35% (388/1118) 36% (439/1210)
Slam W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 60% (3/2) 60% (3/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 29% (2/5) 33% (3/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 42% (5/12) 43% (6/14)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 44% (4/9) 0% (0/6)
Deciding Set W% 33% (2/6) 20% (1/5)
1st set W, W 50% (6/3) 75% (8/6)
1st set W, L 50% (6/3) 25% (8/2)
1st set L, W 29% (7/2) 0% (7/0)

Andy Murray Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Andy Murray
59% ( 77 of 130)
1st Serve %
56% ( 62 of 110)
6
Aces
15
3
Double Faults
3
75% ( 58 of 77)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 51 of 62)
51% ( 27 of 53)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 21 of 48)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
13% ( 2 of 15)
35% ( 45 of 130)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 38 of 110)
123
Total Points Won
117
L
5-7 7-5 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
60% ( 41 of 68)
1st Serve %
68% ( 52 of 76)
10
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
83% ( 34 of 41)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 33 of 52)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 14 of 24)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
24% ( 16 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 29 of 76)
81
Total Points Won
63
W
7-6(0) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Matteo Berrettini
67% ( 56 of 83)
1st Serve %
64% ( 68 of 107)
9
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
0
79% ( 44 of 56)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 51 of 68)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
25% ( 21 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 38 of 107)
100
Total Points Won
90
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Andy Murray
54% ( 42 of 78)
1st Serve %
63% ( 45 of 72)
9
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
4
74% ( 31 of 42)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 31 of 45)
64% ( 23 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 6)
31% ( 24 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 30 of 72)
84
Total Points Won
66
L
7-6(3) 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
David Goffin
60% ( 27 of 45)
1st Serve %
64% ( 35 of 55)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
85% ( 23 of 27)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
72% ( 13 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 9 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 25 of 55)
61
Total Points Won
39
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Ugo Humbert
Player
Andy Murray
67% ( 29 of 43)
1st Serve %
49% ( 33 of 67)
4
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
3
83% ( 24 of 29)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 23 of 33)
86% ( 12 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 15 of 34)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
16% ( 7 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 29 of 67)
65
Total Points Won
45
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Denis Shapovalov
69% ( 67 of 97)
1st Serve %
56% ( 57 of 102)
3
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
10
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 44 of 57)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
32% ( 31 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 102)
103
Total Points Won
96
W
4-6 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Jakub Mensik
Player
Andy Murray
62% ( 77 of 125)
1st Serve %
64% ( 78 of 121)
12
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
3
68% ( 52 of 77)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 54 of 78)
58% ( 28 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 25 of 43)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
36% ( 45 of 125)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 42 of 121)
122
Total Points Won
124
L
7-6(6) 6-7(3) 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Alexandre Muller
61% ( 45 of 74)
1st Serve %
63% ( 45 of 71)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
73% ( 33 of 45)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 30 of 45)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
34% ( 25 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 30 of 71)
79
Total Points Won
66
W
6-1 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Andy Murray
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
49% ( 29 of 59)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
83% ( 33 of 40)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 21 of 29)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 21 of 59)
66
Total Points Won
55
L
7-5 6-4 H2H

Denis Shapovalov Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
64% ( 36 of 56)
1st Serve %
50% ( 28 of 56)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
8
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 21 of 28)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 23 of 56)
64
Total Points Won
48
L
6-2 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 28 of 35)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 23 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 19 of 59)
69
Total Points Won
63
L
6-3 7-6(7) H2H
R2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
60% ( 28 of 47)
1st Serve %
65% ( 64 of 99)
3
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
2
89% ( 25 of 28)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 39 of 64)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
17% ( 3 of 18)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 10 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 99)
82
Total Points Won
64
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Luciano Darderi
68% ( 61 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 78 of 135)
16
Aces
5
8
Double Faults
4
77% ( 47 of 61)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 53 of 78)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 28 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 57 of 135)
119
Total Points Won
106
W
6-3 6-7(3) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Denis Shapovalov
61% ( 58 of 95)
1st Serve %
57% ( 55 of 97)
2
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
12
64% ( 37 of 58)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 42 of 55)
57% ( 21 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 17 of 42)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
39% ( 37 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 38 of 97)
96
Total Points Won
96
L
6-4 2-6 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Botic Van De Zandschulp
57% ( 29 of 51)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
8
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
6
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 21 of 32)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 7 of 25)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
29% ( 15 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 29 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
43
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Denis Shapovalov
69% ( 67 of 97)
1st Serve %
56% ( 57 of 102)
3
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
10
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 44 of 57)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
32% ( 31 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 102)
103
Total Points Won
96
L
4-6 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Denis Shapovalov
66% ( 53 of 80)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 79)
4
Aces
14
0
Double Faults
2
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 38 of 46)
74% ( 20 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
0% ( 0 of 1)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
24% ( 19 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 23 of 79)
84
Total Points Won
75
L
7-6(4) 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Hugo Gaston
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve %
65% ( 37 of 57)
11
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
82% ( 28 of 34)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 21 of 37)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 28 of 57)
63
Total Points Won
41
W
6-4 6-0 H2H
Q1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Maximilian Marterer
59% ( 35 of 59)
1st Serve %
58% ( 42 of 73)
16
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
89% ( 31 of 35)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 30 of 42)
58% ( 14 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 14 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 29 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
58
W
7-5 6-4 H2H

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