Prediction of Ali Yazdani vs Ozan Baris at M15 Antalya 12-03-25

• When examining recent second serve performance, Ali Yazdani has won 41.75% of points, whereas Ozan Baris has slightly outperformed with 43.39%. Could this give Baris an edge? The stats suggest it might.
• Yazdani has the upper hand in return game stats, capturing 47.10% of opponents' second serve points; Baris stands at 44.97%.
• Significant differences are evident in first serve returns, with Yazdani achieving 32.59% compared to Baris's 25.44%, a critical factor in determining the favored player.
• Under pressure, Baris excels, saving 59.82% of breakpoints, surpassing Yazdani's 51.62%, which is invaluable during tense match situations.
• Over the past year, Yazdani has been more consistent with a 69.01% match win rate, against Baris's 50.00%, suggesting Yazdani's stronger form.
• Hard courts are both players' strongest surface, yet Yazdani’s 77% win rate on Hard gives him an advantage over Baris’s 44% on the same.
• Both players primarily compete in the $10K circuit; however, Yazdani's higher match count provides greater experience.
• The average opponent ranking Yazdani faced this year is 279.15, tougher than Baris's 410.31, indicating Yazdani's exposure to superior competitors.
• In deciding sets, Yazdani prevails in 77% of cases, showing resilience, while Baris has a 67% success rate, relatively lower.
• Event-specific performances may vary; continuous observation of ongoing match stats is crucial for accurate predictions.

Editorial Prediction (December 2, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performance, Ali Yazdani appears to have key advantages in several aspects. His superior first serve return stats and overall match win rate suggest he is in better form.

Despite Ozan Baris's stronger second serve performance and breakpoint defense, these may not be enough to counter Yazdani's broad strengths, including experience against higher-ranked opponents and clutch performances in deciding sets.

Considering these factors, Ali Yazdani is more likely to secure victory in this upcoming match, given his well-rounded game and consistent track record.