Alexey Vatutin vs Tom Paris Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When evaluating the upcoming tennis match between Vatutin and Paris, several key statistics highlight the differences in their recent performances. Over the past six months, Vatutin has won 42.7% of points on their second serve, whereas Paris has had a slightly better performance, winning 45.32% of such points. This discrepancy is significant since second serve performance often correlates with match outcomes.

Analyzing return game statistics, Vatutin has demonstrated a higher proficiency in winning points on their opponent's second serve, with a success rate of 46.49%, compared to Paris's 44.63%. Additionally, when it comes to first serve returns, Vatutin's return success stands at 30.08%, significantly ahead of Paris's 22.13%. This gives Vatutin an edge in predicting who might be favored in this head-to-head matchup.

In breakdowns under pressure, Paris appears more resilient, saving 58.69% of breakpoints compared to Vatutin's 53.17%. This resilience can be a crucial factor in high-pressure situations and may influence in-game betting decisions. However, in terms of breakpoint conversion, Vatutin excels by converting 35.06% of opportunities, while Paris converts 29.46%, providing Vatutin with a possible advantage when capitalizing on key moments.

Examining their performance over the last year, Paris has enjoyed a higher win percentage, securing victories in 68.75% of matches (W/L 33/15) as opposed to Vatutin's 60% (W/L 48/32). This trend extends to their direct encounters, where Paris has a definitive edge, winning the sole match between them in straight sets with a scoreline of 6-2, 6-1, at the M 25 Sarreguemines in 2023. The head-to-head duration averages 53 minutes, indicating Paris's ability to close matches efficiently.

Vatutin is known to play primarily in Challengers/ITF tournaments, winning 53.49% of those matches (W/L 23/20), while Paris's strength lies in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments with a higher victory rate of 75.68% (W/L 28/9). Although the level of competition differs, Paris's dominance in their respective circuit is undisputed.

The surfaces each player favors could also influence the outcome. Vatutin shows his best performance on hard courts, with a 60% win rate. In contrast, Paris excels on clay, with a 63% win ratio, although their hard court record of 59% is also commendable.

In terms of opponent quality, Vatutin has faced slightly stronger competition, with an average opponent rank of 384.04 versus Paris's 387.17. However, Paris's robust deciding set performance, winning 67% of such scenarios, suggests a mental edge in crucial moments compared to Vatutin's 48% success rate.

Based on these statistical analyses, Paris stands as the likely frontrunner to secure victory in the upcoming match, given their superior head-to-head record, exceptional performance under pressure, and higher overall win percentage in recent tournaments.