Alexey Vatutin vs Andrea Guerrieri Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does each player perform on their second serve points recently? Alexey Vatutin leads slightly with a win rate of 43.91% compared to Andrea Guerrieri's 41.42%.
• Regarding return game stats, Vatutin edges out, winning 48.91% of opponents' second serve points, while Guerrieri is close behind at 48.87%. For first serve returns, Vatutin also has a slight lead, with a success rate of 30.93% versus Guerrieri's 29.94%.
• In terms of handling pressure, Vatutin has saved 55.83% of breakpoints faced, compared to Guerrieri's 51.61%.
• Overall match wins in the past year favor Guerrieri, with a win percentage of 64.44%, compared to Vatutin’s 57.97%.
• What surface is each player strongest on? Vatutin performs best on Hard courts with a 60% win rate, while Guerrieri excels on Grass, also at 60%.
• In the past year, Vatutin has chiefly competed in Challengers/ITF > $10K tournaments, winning 54% of the time, whereas Guerrieri has mainly participated in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, winning 69.70% of matches.
• Direct head-to-head record shows Guerrieri holds the advantage, having won their only encounter 2-1 in sets.
• What about opponent quality? Vatutin faces slightly higher-ranked opponents on average (401.72 vs. 444.18).
• In deciding sets over the past year, Guerrieri holds a small edge, winning 56% compared to Vatutin's 54%.
• Break point conversion rates show Guerrieri is more effective, converting 37.16% of breakpoints, while Vatutin converts 34.25%.

Editorial Prediction (November 17, 2025, UTC):

In their second serve performance, Vatutin slightly edges Guerrieri, which could hint at an advantage in extended rallies. However, this marginal difference may not decisively affect the outcome.

Return statistics show both players nearly equal, yet Vatutin holds a small advantage in both first and second serve return success rates. This could potentially tilt break opportunities in his favor during the match.

Looking at pressure situations, Vatutin saves more breakpoints, indicating stronger resilience under stress. This could be crucial in tight moments.

Despite Vatutin's edge in specific game stats, Guerrieri's overall higher match win percentage over the last year might suggest better form and confidence.

Both players have specific surface preferences, although this may not heavily influence the match given the neutral indoor hard court setting on which they last met.

Guerrieri's previous victory in their sole direct encounter and a higher breakpoint conversion rate could offer him a psychological and tactical edge.

Considering all factors, including previous head-to-head results and recent form, Andrea Guerrieri seems more likely to win the upcoming match against Alexey Vatutin.