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Prediction of Alexei Popyrin vs Sebastian Korda Head-to-Head, Best Odds & Picks At Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Popyrin vs Korda analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Alexei Popyrin vs Sebastian Korda Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Popyrin 1 - 2 Korda

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Popyrin has won 48.54% of points on their second serve, while Korda has won 54.84%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Popyrin, in recent form, has won 46.88% of their opponent's second serve points, while Korda has won 50.67%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.88% and 28.73% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Popyrin has saved 64.76% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Korda has saved 61.9% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Popyrin has won 56.36% of matches played (W/L 31/ 24), with Korda winning 60% (W/L 33/ 22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Popyrin has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 136/ 99), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 21/ 21). Korda has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 16/ 9), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 80/ 57).
  • Player level: In the last year, Popyrin has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 47.37% of matches (W/L 9/ 10), where as Korda has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 65.38% of matches (W/L 17/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Popyrin winning 1 times and Korda being victorious 2 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Popyrin winning 3 and Korda winning 4. The last match between Popyrin and Korda was at the National Bank Open - Montreal, 11-08-2024, Semifinals, Hard with Alexei Popyrin getting the victory 7-6(0) 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:51:32.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Popyrin and Korda have played a deciding set 1 times, with Popyrin winning 0 times and Korda 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Popyrin winning 2, and Korda 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Popyrin has played against opponents with an average rank of 68 while Korda has played against players with an average rank of 77.22.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Popyrin has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Korda has won 63% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Popyrin has converted 41.75% of breakpoint opportunities, and Korda has converted 36.28% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Alexei Popyrin

6

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

2

Main

1

Minor

24

Rank

23

High

25

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

2

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

2

0

Grass

0

19

Rank

15

High

24

Age

R

Plays

Sebastian Korda

4

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

2

Main

0

Minor

1

Total

2

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

2

0

Grass

0

W W W L L W W L W L

Form

W W W W W W L L W L

56% (272-213)

Career Total W/L

60% (238-156)

58% (28-20)

YTD W/L

62% (31-19)

$4,339,570

Career Prize Money

$4,796,860

1

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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The Best Odds For Alexei Popyrin vs Sebastian Korda For Any Market:

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Popyrin VS Korda H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Alexei Popyrin Sebastian Korda
All H2H Matches 1 2
Sets Won 3 4
Games Won 38 40
Aces (Total) 19 25
DFs Total 11 12
Avg Match Time 1:51:32 1:51:32
1st Serve % 60% (152/253) 65% (160/247)
1st Serve Win% 74% (113/152) 75% (120/160)
2nd Serve Win% 43% (43/101) 46% (40/87)
BPs Won% (Total) 26% (6/23) 70% (7/10)
Return Points W% 35% (87/247) 38% (97/253)
Best of 3 Sets W% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 0% (1/0)

Popyrin VS Korda H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(0) 6-3
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Sebastian Korda
59% ( 41 of 70)
1st Serve %
56% ( 41 of 73)
2
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
5
83% ( 34 of 41)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 27 of 41)
34% ( 10 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 12 of 32)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 73)
78
Total Points Won
65
7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-4
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Alexei Popyrin
70% ( 83 of 118)
1st Serve %
63% ( 79 of 126)
19
Aces
12
4
Double Faults
5
78% ( 65 of 83)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 59 of 79)
43% ( 15 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 20 of 47)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
32% ( 38 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 47 of 126)
127
Total Points Won
117
6-4 6-4
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Alexei Popyrin
64% ( 36 of 56)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
4
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
0
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 20 of 32)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 24 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
48

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Alexei Popyrin Sebastian Korda
YTD W/L 58% (28/20) 62% (31/19)
Sets Win/Loss 57% (71/54) 57% (71/54)
Games Win/Loss 51% (644/610) 52% (640/591)
Hard Win/Loss 68% (17/8) 65% (17/9)
Clay Win/Loss 33% (4/8) 50% (5/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 67% (2/1) 50% (2/2)
Grass Win/Loss 63% (5/3) 70% (7/3)
Aces pg 0.75 0.65
Aces Total 460 391
DFs per game 0.24 0.14
DFs Total 149 87
Avg Match Time 1:57:58 1:43:49
Avg Opp Rank 67.98 82.94
1st Serve % 64% (2494/3869) 60% (2243/3727)
1st Serve W% 75% (1878/2494) 74% (1669/2243)
2nd Serve W% 51% (700/1376) 52% (775/1484)
BPs Won% Total 38% (116/303) 38% (134/350)
Return Pts W% 35% (1346/3890) 37% (1467/3943)
Slam W/L 60% (6/4) 56% (5/4)
Masters W/L 65% (11/6) 53% (8/7)
Cups W/L 67% (2/1) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 47% (7/8) 68% (17/8)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 57% (21/37) 62% (24/39)
Best of 5 Sets W% 60% (6/10) 60% (6/10)
TBs Win% (Total) 45% (10/22) 48% (12/25)
Deciding Set W% 54% (7/13) 69% (9/13)
1st set W, W 82% (28/23) 96% (28/27)
1st set W, L 18% (28/5) 4% (28/1)
1st set L, W 25% (20/5) 18% (22/4)

Alexei Popyrin Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Alexei Popyrin
64% ( 34 of 53)
1st Serve %
68% ( 49 of 72)
7
Aces
13
1
Double Faults
1
97% ( 33 of 34)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 33 of 49)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 13 of 23)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
13% ( 7 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 26 of 72)
72
Total Points Won
53
L
7-6(5) 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Miomir Kecmanovic
70% ( 37 of 53)
1st Serve %
53% ( 23 of 43)
13
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
1
86% ( 32 of 37)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 16 of 23)
38% ( 6 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
28% ( 15 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 16 of 43)
54
Total Points Won
42
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Alexei Popyrin
70% ( 71 of 101)
1st Serve %
68% ( 76 of 112)
10
Aces
21
1
Double Faults
2
85% ( 60 of 71)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 58 of 76)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
23% ( 23 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 36 of 112)
114
Total Points Won
99
L
6-3 6-7(5) 7-5 H2H
Rubber 2
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Pedro Martinez Portero
64% ( 43 of 67)
1st Serve %
62% ( 34 of 55)
9
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 13 of 21)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
31% ( 21 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 19 of 55)
65
Total Points Won
57
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
Rubber 2
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Tomas Machac
67% ( 4 of 6)
1st Serve %
100% ( 3 of 3)
1
Aces
0
-
Double Faults
-
75% ( 3 of 4)
1st Serve Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
50% ( 1 of 2)
2nd Serve Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
0% ( 0 of 0)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Rtn Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
6
Total Points Won
3
W
1-0 H2H
Rubber 2
cross
Ugo Humbert
Player
Alexei Popyrin
69% ( 35 of 51)
1st Serve %
70% ( 37 of 53)
5
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
1
80% ( 28 of 35)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 6 of 16)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
29% ( 15 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
61
Total Points Won
43
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Alexei Popyrin
52% ( 61 of 117)
1st Serve %
55% ( 66 of 120)
14
Aces
24
1
Double Faults
9
77% ( 47 of 61)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 55 of 66)
57% ( 32 of 56)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 24 of 54)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
32% ( 38 of 117)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 41 of 120)
120
Total Points Won
117
L
6-4 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Novak Djokovic
58% ( 74 of 127)
1st Serve %
58% ( 76 of 130)
15
Aces
16
6
Double Faults
14
74% ( 55 of 74)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 54 of 76)
45% ( 24 of 53)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
38% ( 48 of 127)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 51 of 130)
130
Total Points Won
127
W
6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Pedro Martinez Portero
57% ( 39 of 69)
1st Serve %
57% ( 43 of 75)
13
Aces
1
7
Double Faults
8
82% ( 32 of 39)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 22 of 43)
40% ( 12 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 8 of 32)
56% ( 9 of 16)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
36% ( 25 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 45 of 75)
89
Total Points Won
55
W
6-2 6-4 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Soon-Woo Kwon
50% ( 37 of 74)
1st Serve %
55% ( 52 of 95)
14
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
13
92% ( 34 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 35 of 52)
59% ( 22 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 15 of 43)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
24% ( 18 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 45 of 95)
101
Total Points Won
68
W
7-5 6-2 6-3 H2H

Sebastian Korda Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Sebastian Korda
62% ( 58 of 94)
1st Serve %
57% ( 51 of 89)
4
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 28 of 51)
61% ( 22 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 33 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 41 of 89)
102
Total Points Won
81
L
6-4 6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Corentin Moutet
58% ( 49 of 85)
1st Serve %
54% ( 47 of 87)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
78% ( 38 of 49)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 28 of 47)
56% ( 20 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 16 of 40)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
32% ( 27 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 43 of 87)
101
Total Points Won
71
W
7-6(3) 6-1 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Sebastian Korda
67% ( 44 of 66)
1st Serve %
61% ( 27 of 44)
7
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
77% ( 34 of 44)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 20 of 27)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
29% ( 19 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 17 of 44)
64
Total Points Won
46
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Sebastian Korda
59% ( 41 of 70)
1st Serve %
56% ( 41 of 73)
2
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
5
83% ( 34 of 41)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 27 of 41)
34% ( 10 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 12 of 32)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 73)
78
Total Points Won
65
L
7-6(0) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Alexander Zverev
61% ( 57 of 93)
1st Serve %
66% ( 65 of 98)
7
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
11
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 51 of 65)
39% ( 14 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 11 of 33)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
40% ( 37 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 36 of 98)
92
Total Points Won
99
W
7-6(5) 1-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Taylor Fritz
53% ( 39 of 73)
1st Serve %
52% ( 42 of 81)
7
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
4
72% ( 28 of 39)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 32 of 42)
74% ( 25 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 22 of 39)
14% ( 1 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
27% ( 20 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 27 of 81)
80
Total Points Won
74
W
6-4 7-6(4) H2H
R3
W
w/o H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Vasek Pospisil
67% ( 4 of 6)
1st Serve %
55% ( 6 of 11)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
50% ( 2 of 4)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 5 of 6)
100% ( 2 of 2)
2nd Serve Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
100% ( 1 of 1)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
9
Total Points Won
8
W
2-1 ret. H2H
F
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve %
55% ( 42 of 76)
7
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
4
83% ( 34 of 41)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 28 of 42)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 13 of 34)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
24% ( 15 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 35 of 76)
83
Total Points Won
56
W
4-6 6-2 6-0 H2H
SF
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Frances Tiafoe
63% ( 34 of 54)
1st Serve %
60% ( 45 of 75)
12
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
0
79% ( 27 of 34)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 29 of 45)
80% ( 16 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
20% ( 11 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 29 of 75)
72
Total Points Won
57
W
6-4 6-4 H2H

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