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Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Zverev vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Zverev 4 - 7 Nadal

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Zverev has won 54.52% of points on their second serve, while Nadal has won 53.08%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Zverev, in recent form, has won 50.46% of their opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.23%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.29% and 31.06% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Zverev has saved 66.82% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 58.21% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Zverev has won 75.56% of matches played (W/L 68/ 22), with Nadal winning 58.33% (W/L 7/ 5) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Zverev has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 187/ 81), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 65% (W/L 36/ 19). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 506/ 57), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
  • Player level: In the last year, Zverev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 74.29% of matches (W/L 26/ 9), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 11 times before with Zverev winning 4 times and Nadal being victorious 6 times. They have played 28 sets in total, with Zverev winning 13 and Nadal winning 15. The last match between Zverev and Nadal was at the French Open - Paris, 27-05-2024, First, Clay with Alexander Zverev getting the victory 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:18:9.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Zverev and Nadal have played a deciding set 3 times, with Zverev winning 0 times and Nadal 3 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Zverev winning 3, and Nadal 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Zverev has played against opponents with an average rank of 96.02 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 95.92.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Zverev has won 77% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Zverev has converted 36.15% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 40.66% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Alexander Zverev

25

Total

6

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

14

Main

0

Minor

4

Rank

2

High

27

Age

R

Plays

4

Total

7

0

Hard

2

2

Clay

5

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

261

Rank

1

High

38

Age

L

Plays

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

4

Total

7

0

Hard

2

2

Clay

5

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W W W L W W W L

Form

L W L W W W L W L L

67% (514-250)

Career Total W/L

82% (1119-241)

77% (37-11)

YTD W/L

58% (7-5)

$27,104,684

Career Prize Money

$96,533,810

2

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Zverev VS Nadal H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Alexander Zverev Rafael Nadal
All H2H Matches 4 6
Sets Won 13 15
Games Won 129 150
Aces (Total) 84 30
DFs Total 50 19
Avg Match Time 2:18:9 2:18:9
1st Serve % 67% (600/896) 68% (606/896)
1st Serve Win% 67% (401/600) 65% (391/606)
2nd Serve Win% 42% (125/296) 58% (167/290)
BPs Won% (Total) 38% (32/85) 47% (40/85)
Return Points W% 38% (338/896) 41% (370/896)
Best of 3 Sets W% 43% (3/7) 57% (4/7)
Best of 5 Sets W% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 75% (3/4) 25% (1/4)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/3) 100% (3/3)
1st set W, W 67% (6/4) 100% (5/5)
1st set W, L 33% (6/2) 0% (5/0)
1st set L, W 0% (5/0) 33% (6/2)

Zverev VS Nadal H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 7-6(5) 6-3
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
77% ( 72 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 78 of 111)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
72% ( 52 of 72)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 45 of 78)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 50 of 111)
112
Total Points Won
92
7-6(8) 6-6 ret.
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alexander Zverev
60% ( 52 of 87)
1st Serve %
77% ( 79 of 103)
3
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
8
58% ( 30 of 52)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 44 of 79)
49% ( 17 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
46% ( 40 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 50 of 103)
97
Total Points Won
93
6-3 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alexander Zverev
72% ( 50 of 69)
1st Serve %
69% ( 44 of 64)
1
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
3
58% ( 29 of 50)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
79% ( 15 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
36% ( 25 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 28 of 64)
72
Total Points Won
61
6-4 6-4
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
62% ( 34 of 55)
1st Serve %
64% ( 42 of 66)
4
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
3
82% ( 28 of 34)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
43% ( 9 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
33% ( 18 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
65
Total Points Won
56
6-4 7-5
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
72% ( 43 of 60)
1st Serve %
68% ( 46 of 68)
13
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
0
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 29 of 46)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 68)
70
Total Points Won
58
6-2 6-4
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
69% ( 34 of 49)
1st Serve %
62% ( 37 of 60)
11
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
88% ( 30 of 34)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 23 of 37)
47% ( 7 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 12 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 27 of 60)
64
Total Points Won
45
6-1 1-6 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alexander Zverev
65% ( 47 of 72)
1st Serve %
63% ( 41 of 65)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
57% ( 27 of 47)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
68% ( 17 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
39% ( 28 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 31 of 65)
75
Total Points Won
62
6-1 6-4 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alexander Zverev
63% ( 52 of 82)
1st Serve %
65% ( 53 of 81)
0
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
4
69% ( 36 of 52)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 30 of 53)
63% ( 19 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 27 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 39 of 81)
94
Total Points Won
69
6-1 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alexander Zverev
57% ( 20 of 35)
1st Serve %
67% ( 38 of 57)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
80% ( 16 of 20)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 7 of 35)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 31 of 57)
59
Total Points Won
33
4-6 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alexander Zverev
75% ( 113 of 150)
1st Serve %
63% ( 108 of 172)
11
Aces
19
4
Double Faults
11
73% ( 82 of 113)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 77 of 108)
62% ( 23 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 27 of 64)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
30% ( 45 of 150)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 68 of 172)
173
Total Points Won
149
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Alexander Zverev Rafael Nadal
YTD W/L 77% (37/11) 58% (7/5)
Sets Win/Loss 69% (93/42) 54% (15/13)
Games Win/Loss 55% (754/613) 54% (143/123)
Hard Win/Loss 75% (18/6) 67% (2/1)
Clay Win/Loss 80% (16/4) 56% (5/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 75% (3/1) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.62 0.19
Aces Total 417 24
DFs per game 0.13 0.17
DFs Total 86 22
Avg Match Time 2:21:9 2:6:53
Avg Opp Rank 93.02 95.92
1st Serve % 73% (2959/4043) 69% (568/828)
1st Serve W% 75% (2226/2959) 68% (387/568)
2nd Serve W% 55% (591/1084) 53% (138/260)
BPs Won% Total 36% (141/390) 41% (37/91)
Return Pts W% 37% (1621/4344) 39% (329/838)
Slam W/L 85% (11/2) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 80% (16/4) 67% (4/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 67% (10/5) 60% (3/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 74% (26/35) 64% (7/11)
Best of 5 Sets W% 85% (11/13) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 64% (18/28) 25% (1/4)
Deciding Set W% 65% (11/17) 67% (2/3)
1st set W, W 93% (28/26) 86% (7/6)
1st set W, L 7% (28/2) 14% (7/1)
1st set L, W 55% (20/11) 20% (5/1)

Alexander Zverev Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
SF
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Alexander Zverev
75% ( 53 of 71)
1st Serve %
68% ( 42 of 62)
17
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
81% ( 43 of 53)
1st Serve Won
86% ( 36 of 42)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
100% ( 1 of 1)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
25% ( 18 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
24% ( 15 of 62)
68
Total Points Won
65
L
7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Arthur Fils
69% ( 66 of 95)
1st Serve %
59% ( 54 of 91)
8
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
5
83% ( 55 of 66)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 45 of 54)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 24 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 29 of 91)
100
Total Points Won
86
W
6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
79% ( 44 of 56)
1st Serve %
56% ( 43 of 77)
7
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
3
86% ( 38 of 44)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 32 of 43)
83% ( 10 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
14% ( 8 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 26 of 77)
74
Total Points Won
59
W
6-4 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Oscar Otte
68% ( 73 of 107)
1st Serve %
59% ( 58 of 98)
28
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
79% ( 58 of 73)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 45 of 58)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 30 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 32 of 98)
109
Total Points Won
96
W
6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
60% ( 96 of 159)
1st Serve %
73% ( 97 of 133)
3
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
6
65% ( 62 of 96)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 61 of 97)
49% ( 31 of 63)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 12 of 36)
56% ( 9 of 16)
Break Points Won
26% ( 6 of 23)
42% ( 66 of 159)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 60 of 133)
153
Total Points Won
139
L
6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Casper Ruud
68% ( 56 of 82)
1st Serve %
67% ( 71 of 106)
19
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
0
86% ( 48 of 56)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 49 of 71)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
24% ( 20 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 43 of 106)
105
Total Points Won
83
W
2-6 6-2 6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Alex De Minaur
69% ( 75 of 109)
1st Serve %
48% ( 44 of 91)
2
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
4
69% ( 52 of 75)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 27 of 47)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
38% ( 41 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 91)
104
Total Points Won
96
W
6-4 7-6(5) 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Holger Rune
71% ( 97 of 136)
1st Serve %
57% ( 96 of 168)
16
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
3
76% ( 74 of 97)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 63 of 96)
44% ( 17 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 33 of 72)
35% ( 8 of 23)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
33% ( 45 of 136)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 72 of 168)
163
Total Points Won
141
W
4-6 6-1 5-7 7-6(2) 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
75% ( 115 of 153)
1st Serve %
69% ( 111 of 161)
11
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
6
70% ( 80 of 115)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 74 of 111)
55% ( 21 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 24 of 50)
28% ( 5 of 18)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
34% ( 52 of 153)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 63 of 161)
164
Total Points Won
150
W
3-6 6-4 6-2 4-6 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
David Goffin
72% ( 59 of 82)
1st Serve %
57% ( 58 of 102)
8
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
5
78% ( 46 of 59)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 41 of 58)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 19 of 44)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 21 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 42 of 102)
103
Total Points Won
81
W
7-6(4) 6-2 6-2 H2H

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
77% ( 72 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 78 of 111)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
72% ( 52 of 72)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 45 of 78)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 50 of 111)
112
Total Points Won
92
L
6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
72% ( 38 of 53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83% ( 25 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
43
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Zizou Bergs
62% ( 58 of 93)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 78)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
63% ( 22 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 32 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 27 of 78)
88
Total Points Won
83
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 46 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89% ( 41 of 46)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 17 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
61
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78% ( 59 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 74 of 122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 39 of 74)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 65 of 122)
109
Total Points Won
89
W
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve %
69% ( 27 of 39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H

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