Alex De Minaur vs Jacob Fearnley Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing recent performances, Fearnley outshines Minaur in terms of saving breakpoints, with Fearnley saving 62.45% of breakpoints compared to Minaur’s 47.04%. Similarly, when matches extend to a deciding set, Fearnley also holds a strong advantage, having won 85% of such sets over the past year, while Minaur secures just 47% in these scenarios.

When examining their return game, Fearnley edges out Minaur in recent form stats, winning 43.78% of opponents' second serve points and 24.33% on first serve returns. In contrast, Minaur has secured 41.89% on second serve returns and 24.24% on first serves. Breaking these percentages, Fearnley also possesses a marginally better second serve point win rate of 45.15% compared to Minaur's 43.45% in their recent outings.

Considering overall performance over the past 12 months, Fearnley maintains a higher winning percentage of 75% with a record of 51 wins and 17 losses, while Minaur has recorded a 68.66% win rate with 46 wins and 21 losses. The opponent quality stats highlight that Minaur's average opponent ranking was 114.69, indicating a stronger level of competition compared to Fearnley’s average opponent ranking of 228.21.

Minaur has shown particular proficiency on grass courts, achieving a 69% win rate, though his performance diminishes on clay surfaces with a 57% win rate. Fearnley, on the other hand, excels on indoor hard courts with an 82% win rate, but his success slightly declines on clay to 67%. Tournament levels play a significant role as well, with Minaur competing predominantly on the Main tour (72% win rate), whereas Fearnley thrives in Challengers/ITF tournaments, achieving an impressive win rate of 86.05%.

In terms of break point conversion, Minaur is more effective, converting 33.33% of break points compared to Fearnley’s 27.01%. However, the overall comparison suggests Fearnley may be the favorite in this matchup due to his impressive record in deciding sets and under pressure performance. Given Fearnley’s superior stats in several key areas, he is likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming encounter based on this statistical analysis.