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Alex De Minaur vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Minaur vs Popyrin analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Alex De Minaur vs Alexei Popyrin Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Minaur 2 - 1 Popyrin

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Minaur has won 55.49% of points on his second serve, while Popyrin has won 55.2%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Minaur, in recent form, has won 55.78% of his opponent's second serve points, while Popyrin has won 46.27%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.3% and 28.56% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Minaur has saved 59.68% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Popyrin has saved 65.35% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Minaur has won 68.29% of matches played (W/L 56/ 26), with Popyrin winning 48.89% (W/L 22/ 23) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 44/ 22), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 55% (W/L 61/ 50). Popyrin has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 74/ 54), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 47% (W/L 16/ 18).
  • Player level: In the last year, Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 71.05% of matches (W/L 27/ 11), where as Popyrin has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.09% of matches (W/L 13/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Minaur winning 2 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Minaur winning 4 and Popyrin winning 2. The last match between Minaur and Popyrin was at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo, 11-04-2024, Third, Clay with Alex De Minaur getting the victory 6-3 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:4:26.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Minaur and Popyrin have played a deciding set 0 times, with Minaur winning 0 times and Popyrin 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Minaur winning 0, and Popyrin 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Minaur has played against opponents with an average rank of 86.07 while Popyrin has played against players with an average rank of 190.78.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Minaur has won 70% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Popyrin has won 55% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Minaur has converted 42.76% of breakpoint opportunities, and Popyrin has converted 31.01% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Alex De Minaur

10

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

1

Minor

11

Rank

9

High

25

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

1

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

51

Rank

38

High

24

Age

R

Plays

Alexei Popyrin

5

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

2

Main

1

Minor

2

Total

1

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

W W W L W L L W W L

Form

L W W L W W L L L L

63% (335-195)

Career Total W/L

56% (253-201)

71% (25-10)

YTD W/L

53% (9-8)

$8,585,855

Career Prize Money

$2,611,340

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Minaur VS Popyrin H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Alex De Minaur Alexei Popyrin
All H2H Matches 2 1
Sets Won 4 2
Games Won 27 23
Aces (Total) 4 10
DFs (Total) 5 8
Avg Match Time 1:4:26 1:4:26
1st Serve % 61% (80/131) 63% (95/152)
1st Serve Win% 74% (59/80) 63% (60/95)
2nd Serve Win% 51% (26/51) 46% (26/57)
BPs Won% (Total) 56% (10/18) 54% (7/13)
Return Points W% 43% (66/152) 35% (46/131)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (2/0)

Minaur VS Popyrin H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 6-4
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alexei Popyrin
63% ( 27 of 43)
1st Serve %
67% ( 38 of 57)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
70% ( 19 of 27)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
94% ( 15 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
21% ( 9 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
59
Total Points Won
41
6-0 6-3
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Alex De Minaur
57% ( 26 of 46)
1st Serve %
56% ( 25 of 45)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
65% ( 17 of 26)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 15 of 25)
75% ( 15 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 5 of 20)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
30% ( 14 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 25 of 45)
57
Total Points Won
34
6-2 6-2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alexei Popyrin
65% ( 28 of 43)
1st Serve %
63% ( 31 of 49)
1
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
5
89% ( 25 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
40% ( 6 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 4 of 18)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 12 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 27 of 49)
58
Total Points Won
34

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Alex De Minaur Alexei Popyrin
YTD W/L 71% (25/10) 53% (9/8)
Sets Win/Loss 67% (57/28) 50% (21/21)
Games Win/Loss 56% (438/340) 50% (215/214)
Hard Win/Loss 75% (15/5) 64% (7/4)
Clay Win/Loss 60% (6/4) 33% (2/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 80% (4/1) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.38 0.66
Aces Total 145 140
DFs per game 0.18 0.18
DFs Total 69 39
Avg Match Time 1:45:39 1:57:45
Avg Opp Rank 85.4 179.59
1st Serve % 55% (1243/2254) 64% (837/1311)
1st Serve W% 72% (893/1243) 73% (611/837)
2nd Serve W% 56% (567/1011) 56% (265/474)
BPs Won% Total 44% (119/271) 32% (35/110)
Return Pts W% 42% (1072/2528) 34% (469/1362)
Slam W/L 75% (3/1) 50% (1/1)
Masters W/L 64% (9/5) 50% (4/4)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 76% (13/4) 57% (4/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 70% (21/30) 53% (8/15)
Best of 5 Sets W% 80% (4/5) 50% (1/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (4/8) 40% (4/10)
Deciding Set W% 56% (5/9) 80% (4/5)
1st set W, W 95% (21/20) 88% (8/7)
1st set W, L 5% (21/1) 13% (8/1)
1st set L, W 36% (14/5) 22% (9/2)

Alex De Minaur Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Alex De Minaur
69% ( 27 of 39)
1st Serve %
66% ( 27 of 41)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
83% ( 10 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
53
Total Points Won
27
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
W
6-7(2) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
57% ( 27 of 47)
1st Serve %
63% ( 35 of 56)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 16 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
64
Total Points Won
39
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
L
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Arthur Fils
Player
Alex De Minaur
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
59% ( 41 of 69)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
69
Total Points Won
56
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
66% ( 42 of 64)
1st Serve %
42% ( 30 of 71)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
73
Total Points Won
62
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alexei Popyrin
63% ( 27 of 43)
1st Serve %
67% ( 38 of 57)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
70% ( 19 of 27)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
94% ( 15 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
21% ( 9 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
59
Total Points Won
41
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
51% ( 36 of 70)
1st Serve %
66% ( 68 of 103)
2
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
4
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 44 of 68)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 103)
88
Total Points Won
85
W
2-6 6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Stan Wawrinka
43% ( 19 of 44)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
63% ( 12 of 19)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
64% ( 16 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
36% ( 16 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 31 of 54)
59
Total Points Won
39
W
6-3 6-0 H2H

Alexei Popyrin Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Hamad Medjedovic
Player
Alexei Popyrin
51% ( 24 of 47)
1st Serve %
53% ( 26 of 49)
9
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
2
88% ( 21 of 24)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
70% ( 16 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 13 of 23)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
21% ( 10 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 20 of 49)
57
Total Points Won
39
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Mariano Navone
Player
Alexei Popyrin
58% ( 30 of 52)
1st Serve %
65% ( 35 of 54)
4
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
83% ( 25 of 30)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 24 of 35)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
27% ( 14 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 22 of 54)
60
Total Points Won
46
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Daniel Altmaier
Player
Alexei Popyrin
71% ( 50 of 70)
1st Serve %
52% ( 36 of 69)
2
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
78% ( 39 of 50)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 23 of 36)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
27% ( 19 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 27 of 69)
78
Total Points Won
61
L
6-3 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alexei Popyrin
63% ( 27 of 43)
1st Serve %
67% ( 38 of 57)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
70% ( 19 of 27)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
94% ( 15 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
21% ( 9 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
59
Total Points Won
41
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Andrey Rublev
50% ( 34 of 68)
1st Serve %
58% ( 42 of 72)
4
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 27 of 42)
53% ( 18 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
35% ( 24 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 31 of 72)
75
Total Points Won
65
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Corentin Moutet
71% ( 72 of 101)
1st Serve %
69% ( 67 of 97)
6
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
0
65% ( 47 of 72)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 43 of 67)
66% ( 19 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 15 of 30)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
35% ( 35 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 39 of 97)
105
Total Points Won
93
W
3-6 7-5 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Fabian Marozsan
Player
Alexei Popyrin
82% ( 58 of 71)
1st Serve %
63% ( 40 of 64)
3
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
69% ( 40 of 58)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 27 of 40)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
34% ( 24 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 25 of 64)
72
Total Points Won
63
L
7-5 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Jiri Lehecka
64% ( 35 of 55)
1st Serve %
69% ( 35 of 51)
10
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
25% ( 14 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 18 of 51)
59
Total Points Won
47
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Facundo Diaz Acosta
72% ( 42 of 58)
1st Serve %
66% ( 35 of 53)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
76% ( 32 of 42)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
31% ( 18 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 26 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
45
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Karen Khachanov
Player
Alexei Popyrin
69% ( 50 of 72)
1st Serve %
69% ( 48 of 70)
7
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
2
82% ( 41 of 50)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 31 of 48)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
29% ( 21 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 28 of 70)
79
Total Points Won
63
L
7-6(12) 6-2 H2H

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