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Alex De Minaur vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Minaur vs Carreno-Busta analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Alex De Minaur vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Minaur has won 55.17% of points on his second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 0%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Minaur, in recent form, has won 54.4% of his opponent's second serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 0%. The same stats for first serve returns are 33.83% and 0% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Minaur has saved 62.44% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Carreno-Busta has saved 0% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Minaur has won 67.9% of matches played (W/L 55/ 26), with Carreno-Busta winning 33.33% (W/L 1/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 44/ 22), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 55% (W/L 59/ 48). Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 339/ 168), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13).
  • Player level: In the last year, Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 71.05% of matches (W/L 27/ 11), where as Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 33.33% of matches (W/L 1/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Minaur winning 0 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Minaur winning 1 and Carreno-Busta winning 6. The last match between Minaur and Carreno-Busta was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2022, Third, Hard with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:25:30.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Minaur and Carreno-Busta have played a deciding set 0 times, with Minaur winning 0 times and Carreno-Busta 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Minaur winning 0, and Carreno-Busta 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Minaur has played against opponents with an average rank of 87.85 while Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 332.67.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Minaur has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Carreno-Busta has won 100% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Minaur has converted 42.58% of breakpoint opportunities, and Carreno-Busta has converted 0% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Minaur 0 - 2 Carreno-Busta

Alex De Minaur

10

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

1

Minor

11

Rank

9

High

25

Age

R

Plays

0

Total

2

0

Hard

1

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

605

Rank

10

High

32

Age

R

Plays

Pablo Carreno-Busta

30

Total

1

Mast

11

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

12

Minor

0

Total

2

0

Hard

1

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L W W L W W W L W L

Form

W L L L W L L L W L

63% (333-193)

Career Total W/L

64% (560-315)

74% (23-8)

YTD W/L

0% (0-0)

$8,497,415

Career Prize Money

$9,946,935

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Minaur VS Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Alex De Minaur Pablo Carreno-Busta
All H2H Matches 0 2
Sets Won 1 6
Games Won 19 40
Aces (Total) 14 10
DFs (Total) 12 1
Avg Match Time 2:25:30 2:25:30
1st Serve % 57% (130/227) 67% (120/178)
1st Serve Win% 64% (83/130) 78% (93/120)
2nd Serve Win% 42% (41/97) 59% (34/58)
BPs Won% (Total) 9% (1/11) 46% (12/26)
Return Points W% 29% (51/178) 45% (103/227)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 0% (0/0)

Minaur VS Carreno-Busta H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6(5)
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Alex De Minaur
67% ( 71 of 106)
1st Serve %
58% ( 78 of 134)
8
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
10
79% ( 56 of 71)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 52 of 78)
57% ( 20 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 30 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 55 of 134)
131
Total Points Won
109
6-3 6-1 6-1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Alex De Minaur
68% ( 49 of 72)
1st Serve %
56% ( 52 of 93)
2
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
61% ( 14 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 14 of 41)
44% ( 7 of 16)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
29% ( 21 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 48 of 93)
99
Total Points Won
66

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Alex De Minaur Pablo Carreno-Busta
YTD W/L 74% (23/8) 0% (0/0)
Sets Win/Loss 70% (53/23) 0% (0/0)
Games Win/Loss 57% (396/295) 0% (0/0)
Hard Win/Loss 75% (15/5) 0% (0/0)
Clay Win/Loss 67% (4/2) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 80% (4/1) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.41 0
Aces Total 139 0
DFs per game 0.18 0
DFs Total 62 0
Avg Match Time 1:50:31 1st Match
Avg Opp Rank 93.19 0
1st Serve % 55% (1145/2099) 0% (0/0)
1st Serve W% 73% (831/1145) 0% (0/0)
2nd Serve W% 56% (539/954) 0% (0/0)
BPs Won% Total 44% (110/252) 0% (0/0)
Return Pts W% 43% (1009/2371) 0% (0/0)
Slam W/L 75% (3/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 70% (7/3) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 76% (13/4) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 73% (19/26) 0% (0/0)
Best of 5 Sets W% 80% (4/5) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (4/6) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set W% 50% (4/8) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 95% (20/19) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 5% (20/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 36% (11/4) 0% (0/0)

Alex De Minaur Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Arthur Fils
Player
Alex De Minaur
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
59% ( 41 of 69)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
69
Total Points Won
56
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
66% ( 42 of 64)
1st Serve %
42% ( 30 of 71)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
73
Total Points Won
62
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alexei Popyrin
63% ( 27 of 43)
1st Serve %
67% ( 38 of 57)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
70% ( 19 of 27)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
94% ( 15 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
21% ( 9 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
59
Total Points Won
41
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
51% ( 36 of 70)
1st Serve %
66% ( 68 of 103)
2
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
4
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 44 of 68)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 103)
88
Total Points Won
85
W
2-6 6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Stan Wawrinka
43% ( 19 of 44)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
63% ( 12 of 19)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
64% ( 16 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
36% ( 16 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 31 of 54)
59
Total Points Won
39
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
R4
cross
Fabian Marozsan
Player
Alex De Minaur
74% ( 59 of 80)
1st Serve %
60% ( 37 of 62)
3
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
63% ( 37 of 59)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 24 of 37)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 16 of 25)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
39% ( 31 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 22 of 62)
71
Total Points Won
71
L
6-4 0-6 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
48% ( 37 of 77)
1st Serve %
61% ( 49 of 80)
7
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 28 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 33 of 49)
65% ( 26 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
30% ( 23 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 30 of 80)
84
Total Points Won
73
W
7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Soon-Woo Kwon
53% ( 25 of 47)
1st Serve %
65% ( 40 of 62)
7
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
84% ( 21 of 25)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
30% ( 14 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 32 of 62)
65
Total Points Won
44
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Alex De Minaur
67% ( 77 of 115)
1st Serve %
49% ( 38 of 78)
7
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
69% ( 53 of 77)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 27 of 38)
45% ( 17 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 18 of 40)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
39% ( 45 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 33 of 78)
103
Total Points Won
90
L
5-7 6-2 6-3 H2H

Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Mattia Bellucci
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
75% ( 47 of 63)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 34 of 45)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 30 of 47)
72% ( 18 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 10 of 16)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 18 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 23 of 63)
75
Total Points Won
58
L
6-3 7-6(0) H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Arthur Cazaux
70% ( 74 of 105)
1st Serve %
60% ( 44 of 73)
2
Aces
12
5
Double Faults
1
68% ( 50 of 74)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 34 of 44)
32% ( 10 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
43% ( 45 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 27 of 73)
87
Total Points Won
91
W
2-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Pedro Martinez Portero
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69% ( 64 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 43 of 61)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 31 of 43)
48% ( 14 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 13)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 21 of 61)
83
Total Points Won
71
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Richard Gasquet
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58% ( 49 of 84)
1st Serve %
62% ( 62 of 100)
13
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
5
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 43 of 62)
49% ( 17 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
37% ( 31 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 39 of 100)
92
Total Points Won
92
L
2-6 7-6(2) 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Benjamin Bonzi
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
66% ( 117 of 176)
1st Serve %
65% ( 122 of 187)
15
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 89 of 117)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 87 of 122)
56% ( 33 of 59)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 34 of 65)
19% ( 4 of 21)
Break Points Won
17% ( 3 of 18)
31% ( 54 of 176)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 66 of 187)
188
Total Points Won
175
L
4-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-1 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Pedro Cachin
63% ( 59 of 93)
1st Serve %
61% ( 59 of 97)
15
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
1
90% ( 53 of 59)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 48 of 59)
65% ( 22 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
19% ( 18 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 31 of 97)
106
Total Points Won
84
W
7-6(4) 6-1 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Soon-Woo Kwon
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
61% ( 65 of 107)
11
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
77% ( 44 of 57)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 44 of 65)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 107)
101
Total Points Won
94
L
3-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
Rubber 2
L
5-7 6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67% ( 38 of 57)
1st Serve %
81% ( 52 of 64)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
0
76% ( 29 of 38)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 34 of 52)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
26% ( 15 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 27 of 64)
69
Total Points Won
52
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Denis Shapovalov
59% ( 48 of 81)
1st Serve %
50% ( 51 of 103)
3
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
9
75% ( 36 of 48)
1st Serve Won
86% ( 44 of 51)
70% ( 23 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
27% ( 22 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 34 of 103)
93
Total Points Won
91
W
7-6(2) 2-6 6-4 H2H

Minaur Vs Carreno-Busta Prediction H2H Images To Share

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alex De Minaur

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

Minaur vs Tiafoe H2H Pick , could play in The Third round

Minaur vs Ofner H2H Pick , could play in The Third round

Minaur vs Cachin H2H Pick , could play in The Third round

Minaur vs Nadal H2H Pick , could play in The Second round

Minaur vs Blanch H2H Pick , could play in The Second round

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