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Alex Bolt vs Blake Ellis Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Bolt vs Ellis analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Alex Bolt vs Blake Ellis Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Bolt 4 - 0 Ellis

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Bolt has won 54.23% of points on their second serve, while Ellis has won 50.93%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Bolt, in recent form, has won 50.67% of their opponent's second serve points, while Ellis has won 50.71%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.86% and 30.34% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Bolt has saved 65.68% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ellis has saved 56.02% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Bolt has won 64.52% of matches played (W/L 40/ 22), with Ellis winning 60.76% (W/L 48/ 31) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Bolt has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 77/ 33), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 48% (W/L 55/ 60). Ellis has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 65% (W/L 11/ 6), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 168/ 132).
  • Player level: In the last year, Bolt has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 50% of matches (W/L 15/ 15), where as Ellis has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 52.38% of matches (W/L 22/ 20). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Bolt winning 4 times and Ellis being victorious 0 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Bolt winning 8 and Ellis winning 1. The last match between Bolt and Ellis was at the M25 Swan Hill, 23-03-2024, Semifinals, Grass with Alex Bolt getting the victory 7-6(5) 7-6(7).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:58:45.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Bolt and Ellis have played a deciding set 1 times, with Bolt winning 1 times and Ellis 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Bolt winning 4, and Ellis 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Bolt has played against opponents with an average rank of 318.26 while Ellis has played against players with an average rank of 246.09.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Bolt has won 64% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ellis has won 70% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Bolt has converted 40.64% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ellis has converted 43.29% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Alex Bolt

11

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

8

Minor

227

Rank

125

High

31

Age

L

Plays

4

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

2

Grass

0

376

Rank

348

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Blake Ellis

0

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

0

Minor

4

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

2

Grass

0

L W L W W L W W W L

Form

W L W W W L W L W L

58% (379-276)

Career Total W/L

58% (215-158)

72% (34-13)

YTD W/L

58% (22-16)

$830,935

Career Prize Money

$0

2

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Bolt VS Ellis H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Alex Bolt Blake Ellis
All H2H Matches 4 0
Sets Won 8 1
Games Won 56 43
Aces (Total) 39 45
DFs Total 16 15
Avg Match Time 1:58:45 1:58:45
1st Serve % 65% (209/323) 62% (193/310)
1st Serve Win% 78% (162/209) 75% (144/193)
2nd Serve Win% 52% (59/114) 47% (55/117)
BPs Won% (Total) 45% (10/22) 33% (6/18)
Return Points W% 36% (111/310) 32% (102/323)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (4/4) 0% (0/4)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (4/4) 0% (0/4)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (4/4) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (4/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (4/0)

Bolt VS Ellis H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(5) 7-6(7)
cross
Alex Bolt
Player
Blake Ellis
74% ( 57 of 77)
1st Serve %
66% ( 65 of 98)
14
Aces
15
4
Double Faults
6
86% ( 49 of 57)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 53 of 65)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 14 of 33)
0% ( 0 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
21% ( 16 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 31 of 98)
92
Total Points Won
83
7-6(5) 7-6(1)
cross
Alex Bolt
Player
Blake Ellis
65% ( 53 of 81)
1st Serve %
66% ( 50 of 76)
11
Aces
14
4
Double Faults
4
79% ( 42 of 53)
1st Serve Won
84% ( 42 of 50)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
100% ( 1 of 1)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 23 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 22 of 76)
80
Total Points Won
77
6-1 3-6 7-5
cross
Alex Bolt
Player
Blake Ellis
63% ( 51 of 81)
1st Serve %
54% ( 44 of 82)
9
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 38 of 51)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
35% ( 28 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 34 of 82)
87
Total Points Won
76
6-3 6-4
cross
Alex Bolt
Player
Blake Ellis
57% ( 48 of 84)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
5
Aces
5
7
Double Faults
2
69% ( 33 of 48)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 20 of 34)
44% ( 16 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
42% ( 35 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 24 of 54)
73
Total Points Won
65

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Alex Bolt Blake Ellis
YTD W/L 72% (34/13) 58% (22/16)
Sets Win/Loss 66% (69/35) 56% (48/37)
Games Win/Loss 54% (554/477) 52% (437/398)
Hard Win/Loss 63% (19/11) 54% (14/12)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 50% (1/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 88% (15/2) 70% (7/3)
Aces pg 0.58 0.7
Aces Total 291 285
DFs per game 0.22 0.24
DFs Total 109 98
Avg Match Time 1:32:20 1:36:37
Avg Opp Rank 337.13 232.55
1st Serve % 64% (1978/3077) 61% (1537/2505)
1st Serve W% 73% (1447/1978) 73% (1117/1537)
2nd Serve W% 54% (596/1099) 51% (493/968)
BPs Won% Total 41% (102/251) 43% (100/231)
Return Pts W% 37% (1149/3116) 38% (932/2459)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 75% (3/1) 0% (0/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 58% (14/10) 55% (12/10)
Futures W/L 89% (17/2) 71% (10/4)
Best of 3 Sets W% 72% (34/47) 59% (22/37)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 81% (22/27) 55% (11/20)
Deciding Set W% 90% (9/10) 63% (5/8)
1st set W, W 100% (31/31) 86% (21/18)
1st set W, L 0% (31/0) 14% (21/3)
1st set L, W 19% (16/3) 24% (17/4)

Alex Bolt Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Juncheng Shang
Player
Alex Bolt
65% ( 33 of 51)
1st Serve %
68% ( 46 of 68)
7
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
82% ( 27 of 33)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 14 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 68)
64
Total Points Won
55
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Alex Bolt
Player
Jan Choinski
72% ( 67 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 60 of 86)
14
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
4
79% ( 53 of 67)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 47 of 60)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
27% ( 25 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 26 of 86)
94
Total Points Won
85
W
7-6(12) 7-5 H2H
QF
cross
Alex Bolt
Player
Li Tu
69% ( 38 of 55)
1st Serve %
73% ( 36 of 49)
5
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 28 of 49)
64
Total Points Won
40
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Alex Bolt
Player
Blake Mott
74% ( 45 of 61)
1st Serve %
83% ( 50 of 60)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 27 of 50)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
34% ( 21 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 31 of 60)
71
Total Points Won
50
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Alex Bolt
83% ( 49 of 59)
1st Serve %
63% ( 33 of 52)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
40% ( 4 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 18 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
64
Total Points Won
47
L
7-6(3) 6-0 H2H
QF
cross
Alex Bolt
Player
Ben Jones
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve %
76% ( 66 of 87)
10
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
3
83% ( 34 of 41)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 42 of 66)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 17 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 36 of 87)
82
Total Points Won
68
W
6-4 7-6(3) H2H
Q1
cross
Alex Bolt
Player
William Jansen
66% ( 51 of 77)
1st Serve %
68% ( 45 of 66)
6
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
63% ( 32 of 51)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
39% ( 30 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 30 of 66)
77
Total Points Won
66
W
7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Adam Walton
Player
Alex Bolt
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve %
56% ( 38 of 68)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
87% ( 26 of 30)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 22 of 38)
38% ( 5 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 10 of 30)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 12 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 36 of 68)
67
Total Points Won
44
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Alex Bolt
Player
Antoine Escoffier
56% ( 49 of 87)
1st Serve %
51% ( 44 of 86)
4
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
5
78% ( 38 of 49)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 32 of 44)
42% ( 16 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 18 of 42)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 33 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 36 of 86)
90
Total Points Won
83
W
7-6(1) 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Adam Walton
Player
Alex Bolt
69% ( 44 of 64)
1st Serve %
59% ( 38 of 64)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
77% ( 34 of 44)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 23 of 38)
50% ( 10 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
31% ( 20 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 31 of 64)
75
Total Points Won
53
L
7-6(0) 6-1 H2H

Blake Ellis Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Guido Andreozzi
Player
Blake Ellis
60% ( 27 of 45)
1st Serve %
50% ( 22 of 44)
1
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
2
81% ( 22 of 27)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 14 of 22)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
29% ( 13 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 22 of 44)
54
Total Points Won
35
L
6-3 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Blake Ellis
Player
Federico Gaio
55% ( 34 of 62)
1st Serve %
51% ( 35 of 68)
5
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
7
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 14 of 33)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 19 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 28 of 68)
71
Total Points Won
59
W
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Charles Broom
Player
Blake Ellis
63% ( 41 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 36 of 59)
8
Aces
11
0
Double Faults
5
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 27 of 36)
42% ( 10 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
35% ( 23 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 24 of 59)
66
Total Points Won
58
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Blake Ellis
Player
Dane Sweeny
66% ( 47 of 71)
1st Serve %
59% ( 43 of 73)
15
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
74% ( 35 of 47)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 30 of 43)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 15 of 30)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
28% ( 20 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 28 of 73)
79
Total Points Won
65
W
7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Seong Chan Hong
Player
Blake Ellis
64% ( 35 of 55)
1st Serve %
58% ( 25 of 43)
0
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
69% ( 24 of 35)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
33% ( 18 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 22 of 43)
59
Total Points Won
39
L
6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Blake Ellis
Player
Tsung-Hao Huang
69% ( 38 of 55)
1st Serve %
55% ( 34 of 62)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
66% ( 25 of 38)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
47% ( 8 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
40% ( 22 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 35 of 62)
68
Total Points Won
49
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Blake Ellis
Player
Colin Sinclair
59% ( 38 of 64)
1st Serve %
60% ( 42 of 70)
5
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 28 of 42)
69% ( 18 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
25% ( 16 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 27 of 70)
75
Total Points Won
59
W
6-3 7-6(1) H2H
Q1
cross
Blake Ellis
Player
Kai-I Wang
75% ( 47 of 63)
1st Serve %
63% ( 32 of 51)
6
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
4
74% ( 35 of 47)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 23 of 32)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
27% ( 17 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 17 of 51)
63
Total Points Won
51
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Yan Bai
Player
Blake Ellis
65% ( 24 of 37)
1st Serve %
53% ( 37 of 70)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
5
75% ( 18 of 24)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
77% ( 10 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 11 of 33)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
24% ( 9 of 37)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 39 of 70)
67
Total Points Won
40
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Blake Ellis
Player
Sheng Tang
54% ( 33 of 61)
1st Serve %
58% ( 28 of 48)
5
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
73% ( 24 of 33)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 17 of 28)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
34% ( 21 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 24 of 48)
64
Total Points Won
45
W
6-3 6-1 H2H

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