Alastair Gray vs James Story Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve effectiveness in recent form shows Gray winning 46.22% of points and Story at 44.05%. Who has the edge in this area? Gray undoubtedly has a slight advantage.
• Return game stats indicate Gray capturing 46.32% of opponents' second serve points, compared to Story's 45.64%. On first serve returns, Story has a slight lead with 25.66% to Gray's 25.06%.
• Under pressure, Gray has saved 56.05% of breakpoints recently, while Story has saved 52%, suggesting Gray handles high-stress moments with slightly more resilience.
• Last year's performance shows Gray won 65.08% of matches, but Story edges this with a 68.6% win rate.
• When examining surface preferences, Gray excels on Indoor Hard courts with a 67% win rate, whereas Story performs best on Hard courts with 68% wins.
• In tournament level play, both players have predominantly competed in Futures/ITF $10K events, with Gray winning 76% of these matches over Story's 72.15%.
• Head-to-head, Gray and Story have faced each other once with the match being inconclusive due to Gray's retirement after one set.
• When matches extend to a deciding set, Gray has a 48% win rate, while Story shows strength with 67%, crucial for predictions on match distance.
• Break point conversion rates in recent form show Gray at 34.04%, with Story at 31.5%, slightly favoring Gray in critical, break-point situations.

Editorial Prediction (August 2, 2025, UTC):

As we evaluate the performances of Gray and Story, Gray shows slightly better metrics in second serve effectiveness and return game statistics. Furthermore, Gray demonstrates a stronger capability to convert break points and save breakpoints, which are critical under match pressure.

However, Story has shown superior overall match wins in the past year and has the upper hand when matches extend to a third set, reflecting solid performance under prolonged match conditions.

Overall, while both players have strengths, the added capacity of Gray to handle high-pressure points suggests a marginal edge. However, if the match lengthens into a deciding set, Story's greater success rate cannot be overlooked.

Considering all data points, Gray is slightly favored to win the upcoming match, especially if it remains within the usual two-set structure.