Alastair Gray vs Connor Thomson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Gray and Thomson have shown comparable second-serve performances recently, with Thomson slightly edging out Gray by a 1.24% higher win rate on second-serve points.
• In return games, Thomson has a notable advantage, winning 51.32% of opponents' second-serve points compared to Gray's 45.68%.
• For return of first serves, Thomson also leads slightly with a win rate of 25.76% compared to Gray's 25.09%.
• Under pressure, Gray demonstrates resilience by saving 56.15% of breakpoints, surpassing Thomson, who saves 53.85%.
• Comparing overall past performance, Thomson has a superior win rate of 75% in the past year, while Gray is at 62.9%.
• When considering surface preferences, Gray excels on indoor hard courts with a 67% win rate, while Thomson's best results are on grass at 60%.
• Both players mostly compete in Futures/ITF tournaments, with Gray having a 73.47% win rate and Thomson achieving a flawless record of 100% in limited matches.
• Gray has faced stronger opponents with a higher average rank of 199.23, compared to Thomson's average opponent rank of 277.75.
• In deciding sets, Thomson impressively maintains a perfect win record, whereas Gray only wins 43% of the time.
• Gray proves more efficient in converting breakpoints, achieving a conversion rate of 31.91%, whereas Thomson converts at 22.22%.

Editorial Prediction (July 29, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the current performance trends, Thomson appears to have the upper hand in several key areas, particularly in return game statistics that can potentially dictate the flow of a match. Their superior win rate over the last year, despite fewer matches, highlights their efficiency and capability to capitalize on opportunities.

However, Gray's breakpoint conversion strength and experienced resilience under pressure could offer pivotal moments during the match, especially if they leverage their current confidence in break point conversions.

The deciding factor may rest on Gray's experience against higher-ranked opponents and their consistent performance in recent matches.

While both players possess their unique strengths, Gray's adaptability and experience in high-pressure scenarios suggest a slight edge. The likely winner of this match, considering the outlined strengths and recent form analyses, is expected to be Gray.