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Adrian Mannarino vs Naoki Nakagawa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

By Wojtek Kolan

H2H: Mannarino 1 - 0 Nakagawa

They have played 3 sets in total, with Mannarino winning 2 and Nakagawa winning 1. The last match between Mannarino and Nakagawa was at the US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston, 29-03-2025, Round: Q1 round, Surface: Clay, with Adrian Mannarino getting the victory 3-6 6-3 6-2.

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Adrian Mannarino 1
Naoki Nakagawa 0

LAST H2H MATCH: US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston(29-03-2025)

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Mannarino vs Nakagawa H2H Profile
Mannarino Stats Nakagawa
25% (7-21) YTD Win/Loss 40% (6-9)
1 Head-to-Head 0
129 Ranking 354
17 Highest Rank 334
36 Age 28
L Plays R
25 Titles 6
55% (680-566) Career Total W/L 60% (325-214)
$6,988,870 Career Prize Money $0
1 Clay H2H 0

Today’s Tennis Tips:

Machac VS Halys PREDICTION Clay

French Open - Paris atp

25 May 2025 / First

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Quentin Halys

To Win

53.03 %
18.78%

Kasatkina VS Siniakova PREDICTION Clay

French Open - Paris wta

25 May 2025 / First

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Katerina Siniakova

To Win

47.38 %
11.02%

Mannarino VS Nakagawa H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
3-6 6-3 6-2
cross
Adrian Mannarino
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
62% ( 50 of 81)
1st Serve %
57% ( 47 of 83)
4
Aces
11
2
Double Faults
5
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 35 of 47)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
32% ( 26 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 32 of 83)
87
Total Points Won
77

Mannarino VS Nakagawa H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Mannarino Vs Nakagawa H2H Stats
Adrian Mannarino Mannarino Stats Naoki Nakagawa Nakagawa
1 H2H Matches 0
2 Sets Won 1
15 Games Won 11
4 Aces (Total) 11
2 Total Double Faults 5
2:4:57 Average Match Time 2:4:57
62% (50/81) 1st Serve % 57% (47/83)
74% (37/50) 1st Serve Win % 74% (35/47)
58% (18/31) 2nd Serve Win % 44% (16/36)
30% (3/10) Break Points Won % (Total) 14% (1/7)
39% (32/83) Return Points Win % 32% (26/81)
100% (1/1) Best of 3 Sets Win % 0% (0/1)
100% (1/1) Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/1)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Won Match 0% (1/0)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 100% (1/1)
100% (1/1) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (0/0)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Mannarino vs Nakagawa Match Preview :

What happens when second serve percentages are almost identical? Looking at the recent form over the past six months, Mannarino boasts a 47.87% success rate on his second serve, slightly behind Nakagawa's 47.97%. This subtle difference might seem trivial, yet it is an important indicator of match outcomes. Both players seem evenly matched in this area. But does Nakagawa’s slight edge grant him the upper hand when it comes to predictions?

Shifting focus to return games, Mannarino emerges with a slight superiority, having recently captured 46.12% of points from his opponents’ second serves, compared to Nakagawa’s 43.36%. For first serve returns, Nakagawa narrowly leads with a 24.92% capture rate against Mannarino’s 24.12%. In a head-to-head scenario, these figures become crucial. Could Mannarino’s slight downturn in second-serve returns tilt any live predictions in Nakagawa’s favor?

The heat intensifies when breakpoints and pressure moments arise. Mannarino's efficiency at salvaging 53.61% of breakpoints reveals a composure that Nakagawa, at 50%, cannot quite match. Although Mannarino displays resilience here, remember that Nakagawa's ability to consistently bounce back also speaks volumes. In match predictions, who will better manage the pressure cooker moments on the court?

Over the last year, the stark contrast in overall match outcomes is telling. Mannarino has managed to win just 25% of his matches (W/L 12/36), whereas Nakagawa shines with a 60.42% win rate (W/L 29/19). Clearly, Nakagawa's recent track record suggests greater consistency and success. Will Mannarino's experience against stronger opposition be a key factor in this head-to-head duel?

Both players have distinct surface strengths. Mannarino is adept on grass with a career win rate of 59%, revealing a preference for fast surfaces. Conversely, Nakagawa excels on indoor hard courts at 61%. Yet, both struggle on clay, introducing another layer to the analysis. How do these surface preferences weigh into today's face-off?

From a competitive level standpoint, Mannarino’s exposure mostly on the Main tour versus Nakagawa’s presence at Challenge/ITF tournaments reflects on their match statistics. With Mannarino facing stronger foes and Nakagawa prevailing in more matches albeit at a lower tier, this disparity offers contrasting narratives for match-fetching predictions. Does Mannarino’s tour-level exposure tip the scale in his favor, or does the hunger for success by Nakagawa at lower levels prevail?

A glance at opponent quality reveals Mannarino’s average opponent ranks 128.67 in contrast to Nakagawa's average of 431.85. Nakagawa clearly has faced lower-tier opponents, suggesting Mannarino might be more battle-hardened. In a potential tight contest, could this experience against elite competition favor Mannarino's chances?

Deciding sets become crucial in matches that hang in balance. Nakagawa's enviable 64% success in deciding sets dwarfs Mannarino's 39% over the last year, translating into potential dominance if this match goes the distance. If this match sails into a deciding set, does Nakagawa’s prowess and past record almost preordain his success?

Break point conversion rates spark intrigue. Mannarino converts 33.33% of his break chances, outperforming Nakagawa’s 28.71%. This conversion advantage becomes a strategic asset during critical junctures. Will Mannarino's execution on break points prove decisive?

Weaving through this statistical tapestry, trends emerge. Mannarino’s grit and exposure to high-level competition clash with Nakagawa’s recent winning form and tenacity in tight finishes. While Nakagawa's head-to-head form impresses, Mannarino's seasoned campaign at the higher echelon might ultimately bestow him the slightest edge in this riveting encounter. Then again, never underestimate the unpredictability of tennis. Could this be Nakagawa’s moment to upend expectations? At the event’s climax, all eyes will be on the court for the fireworks.

Mannarino vs Nakagawa Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88

Adrian Mannarino Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
Q1
cross
Luca Van Assche
Player
Adrian Mannarino
70% ( 44 of 63)
1st Serve %
67% ( 44 of 66)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 25 of 44)
42% ( 8 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
40% ( 25 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 31 of 66)
69
Total Points Won
60
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Gonzalo Bueno
Player
Adrian Mannarino
72% ( 74 of 103)
1st Serve %
60% ( 64 of 107)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
59% ( 44 of 74)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 33 of 64)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 18 of 43)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
22% ( 4 of 18)
45% ( 46 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 56 of 107)
113
Total Points Won
97
L
6-2 6-7(9) 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Carlos Taberner
Player
Adrian Mannarino
64% ( 49 of 77)
1st Serve %
65% ( 32 of 49)
3
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
44% ( 34 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 26 of 49)
69
Total Points Won
57
L
6-1 0-6 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Vitaliy Sachko
Player
Adrian Mannarino
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve %
63% ( 43 of 68)
5
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
2
70% ( 26 of 37)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 22 of 43)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
38% ( 25 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 35 of 68)
75
Total Points Won
58
L
6-0 7-6(4) H2H
Q1
cross
Hugo Dellien
Player
Adrian Mannarino
70% ( 48 of 69)
1st Serve %
63% ( 40 of 63)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
58% ( 28 of 48)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 24 of 40)
76% ( 16 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 13 of 23)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
36% ( 25 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 26 of 63)
70
Total Points Won
62
L
6-3 7-6(8) H2H
R1
cross
Max Wiskandt
Player
Adrian Mannarino
69% ( 69 of 100)
1st Serve %
60% ( 54 of 90)
3
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
2
75% ( 52 of 69)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 36 of 54)
35% ( 11 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 21 of 36)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
37% ( 37 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 33 of 90)
96
Total Points Won
94
L
2-6 6-2 7-6(3) H2H
SF
cross
Luka Pavlovic
Player
Adrian Mannarino
43% ( 36 of 83)
1st Serve %
69% ( 53 of 77)
10
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
4
83% ( 30 of 36)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 38 of 53)
51% ( 24 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
35% ( 29 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 29 of 77)
83
Total Points Won
77
L
6-4 7-6(3) H2H
QF
cross
Adrian Mannarino
Player
Bernard Tomic
67% ( 49 of 73)
1st Serve %
41% ( 33 of 80)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
2
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
58% ( 14 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
30% ( 22 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 37 of 80)
88
Total Points Won
65
W
5-7 6-1 6-1 H2H

Naoki Nakagawa Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
Q1
cross
Moerani Bouzige
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
46% ( 30 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 42 of 69)
12
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
3
93% ( 28 of 30)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 34 of 42)
66% ( 23 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
22% ( 14 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 22 of 69)
73
Total Points Won
61
L
7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Sanhui Shin
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
58% ( 38 of 65)
1st Serve %
62% ( 46 of 74)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 27 of 46)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
35% ( 23 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 35 of 74)
77
Total Points Won
62
L
6-1 7-6(5) H2H
Q1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Evgeny Karlovskiy
51% ( 47 of 92)
1st Serve %
65% ( 49 of 75)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
66% ( 31 of 47)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 30 of 49)
51% ( 23 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
41% ( 38 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 31 of 75)
85
Total Points Won
82
W
2-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Adrian Mannarino
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
62% ( 50 of 81)
1st Serve %
57% ( 47 of 83)
4
Aces
11
2
Double Faults
5
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 35 of 47)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
32% ( 26 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 32 of 83)
87
Total Points Won
77
L
3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Taiyo Yamanaka
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
42% ( 27 of 65)
7
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
78% ( 31 of 40)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 18 of 27)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 28 of 65)
73
Total Points Won
54
L
7-6(4) 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Rannmaru Kozuma
52% ( 23 of 44)
1st Serve %
48% ( 24 of 50)
8
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
74% ( 17 of 23)
1st Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
34% ( 15 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 31 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
34
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Christian Langmo
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
68% ( 57 of 84)
1st Serve %
57% ( 50 of 87)
13
Aces
13
2
Double Faults
1
82% ( 47 of 57)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
59% ( 16 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
25% ( 21 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 29 of 87)
92
Total Points Won
79
L
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Ajeet Rai
44% ( 30 of 68)
1st Serve %
68% ( 44 of 65)
3
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
2
87% ( 26 of 30)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
58% ( 22 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 11 of 21)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
29% ( 20 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 25 of 65)
73
Total Points Won
60
W
7-6(4) 6-1 H2H
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Mannarino & Nakagawa Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Adrian Mannarino Mannarino Stats Naoki Nakagawa Nakagawa
55% (680/566) Win/Loss 60% (325/214)
53% (1609/1423) Sets Win/Loss 58% (725/535)
51% (14752/14133) Games Win/Loss 52% (6287/5715)
57% (270/204) Hard Win/Loss 61% (193/126)
38% (80/132) Clay Win/Loss 60% (112/75)
59% (236/166) Indoor Hard W/L 61% (20/13)
59% (94/64) Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0)
0.32 Aces Per Game 0.32
4474 Aces Total 1856
0.17 Double Faults Per Game 0.18
2364 Total Double Faults 1072
1:16:5 Average Match Time 1:19:54
485.43 Average Opponent Rank 465.09
60% (43333/71975) 1st Serve % 57% (15996/28069)
70% (30301/43333) 1st Serve Win % 69% (11103/15996)
51% (14749/28642) 2nd Serve Win % 50% (6070/12073)
42% (2723/6486) Break Points Won % (Total) 42% (1166/2769)
38% (27390/72361) Return Points Win % 39% (11119/28177)
48% (64/69) Slam W/L 0% (0/0)
41% (73/103) Masters W/L 0% (0/0)
80% (8/2) Cups W/L 0% (0/0)
51% (234/224) Main Tour W/L 0% (0/3)
64% (200/114) Challenger W/L 46% (63/75)
65% (101/54) Futures W/L 66% (262/136)
56% (626/1127) Best of 3 Sets Win % 60% (321/533)
45% (50/112) Best of 5 Sets Win % 67% (2/3)
49% (209/423) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 57% (99/175)
52% (203/388) Deciding Set Win % 58% (106/182)
84% (657/552) 1st Set Won, Won Match 88% (296/259)
16% (657/103) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 13% (296/37)
21% (588/124) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 27% (243/66)

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