Prediction Of Shapovalov Vs Ruud H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Dallas Open 2025?

What Time Will Denis Shapovalov Play Against Casper Ruud?

Shapovalov and Ruud are on the Day 7 Schedule at Dallas Open 2025 on Sunday 9 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Denis Shapovalov (CAN) and Casper Ruud (NOR) are set to face each other in the upcoming match. Ruud currently leads the head-to-head record with 2 wins against Shapovalov. The first match took place in Geneva (Switzerland) on clay, where Ruud won with a score of 7-6(6) 6-4. The second encounter was at the ATP Masters 1000 in Rome (Italy) also on clay, where Ruud emerged victorious with a score of 7-6(7) 7-5.

Denis Shapovalov is 25 years old and currently ranked as the World No. 54. His career-high ranking was at No. 10. In 2025, he has a record of 6-3, reaching the final in Dallas. Throughout his career, Shapovalov has achieved significant milestones. In 2020, he became the first Canadian US Open men’s singles quarter-finalist. He joined Milos Raonic as the second Canadian man to break into the top 10. At the 2021 Wimbledon, Shapovalov reached his first Grand Slam semifinal, defeating two-time champion Andy Murray and earning 5-set wins over Philipp Kohlschreiber and Karen Khachanov. He also reached the final in Paris in 2019 and has made it to four other ATP Masters 1000 semifinals, including a significant upset against Rafael Nadal in 2017 Montreal when he became the youngest semifinalist in the series’ history at the age of 18. Shapovalov has also made notable contributions to the Canadian team, defeating Pablo Carreno Busta in the 2022 ATP Cup final and Thanasi Kokkinakis in the 2022 Davis Cup final, helping Canada win both team titles. He had a successful junior career as well, winning the 2016 Wimbledon boys’ singles title and breaking into the Top 50 of the ATP Rankings shortly after. It is worth mentioning that Shapovalov has a 4-25 record against top 5 players and has secured two ATP Tour titles in Stockholm in 2019 and Belgrade in 2024. He aspires to become the first Canadian to win the event since Raonic in 2013 and the first ATP Tour champion to defeat top 3 seeds en route to the title since Arthur Fils at Hamburg last year.

Casper Ruud, on the other hand, is a 26-year-old player from Norway and is currently ranked as the World No. 5. He reached his career-high ranking of No. 2 after his loss to Carlos Alcaraz in the 2022 US Open final. Ruud has achieved several significant milestones for Norwegian tennis. He is the first Norwegian to win 12 ATP Tour titles, to play at the Nitto ATP Finals (in 2021 and reaching the semifinals in 2024), and to reach a Grand Slam final (Roland Garros in 2022-23 and the US Open in 2023). He has also reached ATP Masters 1000 finals in Miami in 2022 and Monte-Carlo in 2024. Ruud made history by winning three consecutive clay-court titles in Bastad, Gstaad, and Kitzbuhel in 2021, becoming the first player to achieve this since Andy Murray in 2011. Additionally, Ruud leads the ATP Tour in clay-court wins, finals, and titles since the start of the 2020 season, highlighted by his biggest career title at the 2024 Barcelona. He has scored significant victories, including defeating world No. 1 Novak Djokovic en route to the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo final. Ruud seeks his 13th ATP Tour title, aiming to add another one on hard courts after his victory in Barcelona and to become the first Scandinavian winner at the event since Peter Lundgren in 1987.

The statistics from the 2025 Dallas tournament between Shapovalov and Ruud show some interesting differences. Shapovalov hit 47 aces, while Ruud hit 23. Shapovalov had a first-serve percentage of 60% (199 of 332), whereas Ruud had a higher percentage of 73% (203 of 279). Shapovalov won 79% of his first-serve points (158 of 199), slightly higher than Ruud’s 72% (147 of 203). When it came to second-serve points won, Shapovalov had a success rate of 53% (71 of 133), while Ruud won 55% (42 of 76). In terms of service games won, Shapovalov had a percentage of 92% (47 of 51), slightly higher than Ruud’s 87% (41 of 47). Shapovalov also saved a higher percentage of break points, with 79% (15 of 19), compared to Ruud’s 70% (14 of 20). However, in return statistics, Ruud had a higher percentage of first-serve return points won with 35% (69 of 200) as compared to Shapovalov’s 30% (59 of 196). Ruud also had a slightly higher percentage of second-serve return points won with 52% (45 of 86), while Shapovalov had 49% (45 of 92). When it came to return games won, Ruud won 27% (12 of 45), while Shapovalov won 21% (10 of 47). Shapovalov had a higher percentage of break points converted with 59% (10 of 17) compared to Ruud’s 44% (12 of 27).

In conclusion, the upcoming match between Denis Shapovalov and Casper Ruud promises to be an exciting encounter. Shapovalov aims to secure his third ATP Tour title, while Ruud seeks his 13th title and to become the first Scandinavian winner at the event in many years.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Shapovalov will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud prediction.