Prediction Of Rune Vs McDonald H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Hsbc Championships 2025?

What Time Will Holger Rune Play Against Mackenzie McDonald?

Rune and McDonald are on the Day 3 Schedule at Hsbc Championships 2025 on Wednesday 18 June 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

The head-to-head series between Holger Rune of Denmark and Mackenzie McDonald of the USA is tied at 1-1. In the ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2023, Rune defeated McDonald with a score of 7-5, 6-3. In the ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati in the same year, McDonald emerged victorious as Rune retired during the match with a score of 6-4, 2-0.

Holger Rune, at the age of 22, is currently ranked World No. 9 with a career-high of No. 4. In 2025, he holds a record of 21-12 along with a title in Barcelona. Rune achieved various milestones on his journey to the top, breaking into the Top 100 in January 2022, the Top 50 in May 2022, and eventually reaching the Top 10 in November 2022. Notably, he became the highest-ranked Dane in PIF ATP Rankings history, peaking at No. 4 in August 2023. Rune captured the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Paris title at the age of 19, making history as the first player since the start of the ATP Tour to earn 5 Top-10 wins at an event other than the Nitto ATP Finals.

During his career, Rune has had significant successes against top players, including a 7-match winning streak against Top 5 opponents. He has notable wins over top-ranked players like Alcaraz and Djokovic at ATP Masters 1000 events. Rune ended the 2022 season on a high note with a 19-2 run after facing difficulties earlier in the year. His achievements include upsetting Tsitsipas at the 2022 Roland Garros, making him the first Danish man to reach the quarterfinals in tournament history.

Mackenzie McDonald, aged 30, currently holds the World No. 98 ranking with a career-high of No. 37. After undergoing right hamstring surgery in 2019 and falling out of the Top 250 in 2020, McDonald made a remarkable comeback. He achieved notable victories over former champions like Kyrgios and Nishikori en route to his first ATP Tour final in 2021. McDonald also secured his first ATP Tour title in doubles at the 2022 Tokyo tournament.

One of the highlights of McDonald’s career was his upset victory over defending champion and World No. 2 Nadal in the 2023 Australian Open 2nd round. He followed this up with another notable win over Rublev, reaching his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal at the 2023 Toronto event. McDonald has a history of surprising performances, qualifying for the 2013 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati at the age of 18 and later winning the 2016 NCAA singles and doubles titles for UCLA.

McDonald has faced tough competition against Top 10 players, holding a record of 5-18 against them. However, he remains determined to secure his first win against a top player since his victory over Rune in the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati, where Rune had to retire. McDonald is aiming for his 18th ATP Tour quarterfinal, with his previous achievements including wins at various levels and surfaces, including grass.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Rune will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Holger Rune vs Mackenzie McDonald, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Holger Rune vs Mackenzie McDonald prediction.