Prediction Of Mensik Vs Bublik H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Jakub Mensik Play Against Alexander Bublik?

Mensik and Bublik are on the Day 7 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Tuesday 29 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

4R: [22] Jakub Mensik (CZE) vs Alexander Bublik (KAZ)

Series Tied head to head 1-1. Mensik defeated Bublik in their most recent match at the 24 Wimbledon on Grass. Bublik won the match 4-6 6-7(2) 6-4 6-4 6-2. Mensik also defeated Bublik in their previous match at the 25 Rotterdam on Hard. Mensik won the match 6-4 6-4.

Jakub Mensik, 19 years old and ranked World No. 23, achieved his career-high ranking in April 2025. He broke into the Top 100 in February 2022 and became the fourth man in series history to win his first title at the ATP Masters 1000 event in Miami. In Miami, Mensik defeated No. 4 Fritz and 6-time champion No. 5 Djokovic, becoming one of only two teenagers to earn multiple Top 5 wins in one event this century. He also became the first Czech ATP Masters 1000 champion since 2005.

In the 2024 Doha tournament, Mensik reached his first ATP Tour QF, SF, and final. He defeated former champions Murray, Monfils, and No. 5 Andrey Rublev on his way to the final. Mensik became the first man born in 2005 or later to play in an ATP Tour final.

Mensik made his tour-level debut at the 2023 US Open, reaching the 3R as a qualifier. He became the youngest man to reach the Grand Slam 3R since Nadal in 2004 and the youngest at the US Open since Santoro in 1990. However, he lost to Fritz on his 18th birthday. Mensik also reached the 3R at the 2024 US Open and the 2025 Australian Open.

On the ITF Juniors circuit, Mensik posted an 85-28 record, including reaching the 2022 Australian Open boys’ singles final.

It is important to note that Mensik is currently on an 8-match winning streak at the ATP Masters 1000 level after winning his first title in Miami. He aims to reach his third ATP Masters 1000 QF and become the first 1st-time ATP Masters 1000 champion to reach the quarter-finals of his next event played at this level since Medvedev in 2019.

In terms of teenagers reaching the Madrid Men’s Singles QF in tournament history, Mensik (19 years 6 months) aims to join the list, which includes Carlos Alcaraz, Denis Shapovalov, Rafael Nadal, and Novak Djokovic.

Alexander Bublik, 27 years old and ranked World No. 75, achieved his career-high ranking in May 2024. He became the first ATP Tour champion to come back from a set down in every match en route to his fourth title in Montpellier. Bublik defeated five Top 25 players, including No. 9 Sinner and No. 7 Rublev, in the process.

Bublik’s biggest win came against No. 3 A. Zverev in the 2022 Montpellier final, where he earned his first ATP Tour title. He has also reached the finals of several tournaments, including 2019 Newport, 2019 Chengdu, 2021 Antalya, 2021 Singapore, 2022 Newport, 2022 Metz, and 2024 Dubai.

In doubles, Bublik reached the 2021 Roland Garros final with Golubev and the 2020 Australian Open SF with Kukushkin.

Bublik ousted defending champion Rublev in the 3R and aims to reach his third ATP Masters 1000 QF after reaching the stage at the 2021 Miami and 2021 Madrid tournaments.

In terms of his performance on clay, Bublik has a record of 7-11 against the Top 30 players and a record of 5-3 in Madrid. If he surpasses his ATP Tour win count of the 2025 season prior to Madrid, he would jump to No. 62 on the PIF ATP Live Rankings.

Overall, the upcoming match between Mensik and Bublik will be a highly anticipated event, as both players have achieved notable achievements in their careers and will be looking to continue their success in the Madrid tournament.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Mensik will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik prediction.