Prediction Of Medvedev Vs Nakashima H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Daniil Medvedev Play Against Brandon Nakashima?

Medvedev and Nakashima are on the Day 7 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Tuesday 29 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match at the ATP Masters 1000 in Indian Wells, Daniil Medvedev will face Brandon Nakashima. Medvedev currently leads their head-to-head record 1-0. The match will take place on a hard court surface in the Round of 64.

Daniil Medvedev, aged 29, is currently ranked as the World No. 10. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 1 and held that position for 16 weeks in 2022. At a height of 1.98m (6’6″), Medvedev became the tallest player to hold the No. 1 ranking in history. He also became the first player other than Djokovic, Federer, Murray, and Nadal to reach No. 1 since Roddick in 2004.

Medvedev has had significant achievements in his career. He has reached the finals of six Grand Slam tournaments and holds a 5-3 record against Djokovic when Djokovic is ranked as the World No. 1. Notably, he defeated Djokovic in the 2021 US Open final, denying Djokovic the calendar Grand Slam. In the 2020 Nitto ATP Finals, Medvedev defeated Djokovic, Nadal, and Thiem en route to winning the title. This made him the first player to sweep the top three players in the tournament’s history since 2007.

Medvedev has had a successful run, with consecutive wins and titles. He had a 20-match winning streak from 2020 to 2021, with 12 wins against top 10 players. In 2021, he led the ATP Tour with 63 victories and won team titles at the ATP Cup, Laver Cup, and Davis Cup. Most of his singles titles, 18 out of 20, have come on hard courts, including ATP Masters 1000 championships in Cincinnati, Shanghai, Paris, Toronto, Miami, and Rome.

In this match, Medvedev aims to advance to his 23rd ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal and reach back-to-back Madrid quarterfinals. He has a strong record against players ranked outside the top 20 on clay since the start of the 2024 season, with a lone loss to No. 31 Lehecka in the Madrid quarterfinals last year via retirement. He is also two wins away from completing the set of semifinals at all nine ATP Masters 1000 events.

On the other hand, Brandon Nakashima, aged 23, is currently ranked as the World No. 32. He broke into the top 50 rankings in July 2022 and achieved a career-high ranking of No. 31 in April 2025. He reached this ranking after earning his 100th career win and reaching his biggest ATP Tour semifinal in Acapulco.

Nakashima has had notable achievements as well. He won the 2022 Next Gen ATP Finals title in Milan and had a strong performance at the tournament in 2021, reaching the semifinals. He also won his first ATP Tour title in his hometown of San Diego in 2022, defeating his countryman Giron. He ended the season on a high note with a 16-1 run in tiebreaks.

As a 19-year-old, Nakashima played in back-to-back ATP Tour finals at Los Cabos and Atlanta in 2021. This made him the youngest American player to reach multiple finals since Roddick in 2001-2002. In 2022, he reached the third round at Roland Garros, the fourth round at Wimbledon, and the third round at the US Open. He achieved his first top 20 wins of his career by defeating Shapovalov in the second round of Wimbledon and Dimitrov in the second round of the US Open.

Nakashima has had mixed results in ATP Masters 1000 events. He is yet to reach the round of 16 in these tournaments, and he aims to reach his 18th ATP Tour quarterfinal in this match. His overall record against top 10 players is 2-10, with victories over No. 5 Rune in the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai and No. 8 Rublev in Barcelona last year. He currently ranks No. 29 on the PIF ATP Live Rankings and could potentially reach No. 26 with a win.

In conclusion, Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima will face each other in the Round of 64 at the ATP Masters 1000 in Indian Wells. Medvedev holds a 1-0 advantage in their head-to-head record. Medvedev has had significant achievements in his career, including being ranked No. 1 in the world and defeating top-ranked players like Djokovic. Nakashima has also shown promise, reaching career-high rankings and achieving notable wins.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Medvedev will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima prediction.