Prediction Of Medvedev Vs Cerundolo H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Daniil Medvedev Play Against Juan Manuel Cerundolo?

Medvedev and Cerundolo are on the Day 5 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Sunday 27 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the first meeting between Daniil Medvedev and Juan Manuel Cerundolo, insights from their 52-week averages reveal that both players have similar conversion and score steal scores. However, Medvedev has a higher serve quality, return quality, forehand quality, and backhand quality compared to Cerundolo. The tour average statistics are also provided for comparison.

Daniil Medvedev, who is 29 years old and currently ranked World No. 10, achieved a career-high ranking of No. 1. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 14-8 with two semifinal appearances. Notably, Medvedev spent 16 weeks as the World No. 1 in 2022, making him the tallest player to hold this position at a height of 1.98m (6’6″). He also became the first player other than Djokovic, Federer, Murray, and Nadal to be ranked No. 1 since Roddick in 2004.

As a six-time Grand Slam finalist, Medvedev has a positive head-to-head record of 5-3 against Djokovic while the Serb was ranked World No. 1. This includes a convincing victory of 6-4 6-4 6-4 in the 2021 US Open final, denying Djokovic the calendar Grand Slam. In the 2020 Nitto ATP Finals, Medvedev achieved a remarkable feat by defeating No. 1 Djokovic, No. 2 Nadal, and No. 3 Thiem, becoming the first player in tournament history to accomplish a sweep of the top three players. He was also the first player since 2007 Madrid (Nalbandian) to achieve this on the ATP tour.

Medvedev’s achievements extend to his consistent success on different surfaces. He had a streak of 20 consecutive wins from 2020 to 2021, including 12 victories against top 10 opponents. In 2021, he led the ATP Tour with 63 victories, won titles at the ATP Cup, Laver Cup, and Davis Cup, and captured six ATP Masters 1000 championships, with his first-ever title on clay.

It is worth noting that Medvedev has had mixed results in Madrid. He has reached the Round of 16 three times (2021, 2023, and 2024) and made it to the quarterfinals in 2024. However, he had to withdraw from the tournament in 2022. In matches against Argentine players, Medvedev holds a record of 11-2, with his only losses coming against Pella in 2016 and Madrid in 2019. Since then, he has been undefeated against Argentine opponents. On clay, Medvedev has a 4-5 record against players outside the top 100, including a loss to No. 121 Karatsev in the fourth round of the 2023 Madrid tournament.

On the other side, Juan Manuel Cerundolo, aged 23 and currently ranked World No. 126 with a career-high ranking of No. 79, has had a notable start to his career. As a former top-10 junior, Cerundolo achieved his career-high ranking in January 2022 after winning three Challenger titles in five finals during the 2021 season. He made a significant impact on the ATP Tour by qualifying for the main draw of the 2021 Cordoba tournament and winning the title in his debut. Ranked 335th at the time, he became the first player since Ventura in 2004 to achieve such a feat and the fifth-lowest-ranked player to win a title since the establishment of the ATP Tour in 1990.

Cerundolo’s success extends to the Challenger circuit, where he has an impressive record of 139 wins and 74 losses (10-3 in finals). He clinched back-to-back titles on home soil at the 2023 Tigre-1 and Tigre-2 tournaments. Tennis runs in the Cerundolo family, as his father, Alejandro, is a former professional tennis player, and his older brother, Francisco, reached a career-high ranking of No. 19 in June 2023. Additionally, his older sister, Constanza, represented Argentina in field hockey and won a gold medal at the 2018 Youth Olympics.

In the current Madrid tournament, Cerundolo has already made a mark by defeating last year’s finalist and World No. 19, Auger-Aliassime, to claim his first career win against a top 20 player and reach the 3rd round of an ATP Masters 1000 event for the second time, the first being in the 2022 Miami tournament (lost to Tiafoe). His only previous encounter with a top 10 player resulted in a loss to No. 8 Sinner in the first round of the 2023 Wimbledon tournament. Cerundolo now aims to become the lowest-ranked player to achieve a top 10 win on clay since No. 130 Fognini defeated No. 10 Auger-Aliassime and No. 172 Seyboth Wild defeated No. 2 Medvedev, both in the first round of the 2023 Roland Garros.

Lastly, the provided text also highlights the lowest-ranked players to reach the Round of 16 in the history of the Madrid tournament. These include Rafael Nadal (No. 512, 2024), Joachim Johansson (No. 292, 2006), Aslan Karatsev (No. 121, 2023), Pablo Andujar (No. 113, 2013), and Nicolas Kiefer (No. 112, 2007).

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Medvedev will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Daniil Medvedev vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Daniil Medvedev vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo prediction.