Prediction Of Korda Vs Ruud H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Sebastian Korda Play Against Casper Ruud?

Korda and Ruud are on the Day 5 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Sunday 27 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match at the ATP Masters 1000 in Montreal, it will be the first meeting between [23] Sebastian Korda from the USA and [14] Casper Ruud from Norway.

Looking at their performance based on their 52-week averages, Korda has a 27% conversion rate in attack, 70% score steal, and a 30% serve quality. His forehand quality is rated at 8.1, backhand quality at 6.6, and return quality at 7.6. On the other hand, Ruud has a 24% conversion rate in attack, 68% score steal, and a 32% serve quality. His forehand quality is rated at 7.9, backhand quality at 7.1, and return quality at 8.0. The tour average for these statistics is 24% conversion rate in attack, 69% score steal, and a 31% serve quality. The average forehand quality is 7.9, backhand quality is 6.5, and return quality is 7.5.

Sebastian Korda, 24 years old and currently ranked No. 24 in the world, achieved his career-high ranking of No. 15 in August 2024. He made history by joining his father Petr Korda, who reached No. 2 in 1998, as the only father-son duo to be ranked inside the Top 20 in PIF ATP Rankings history. Korda has had significant victories in his career, defeating No. 3 Medvedev at the 2023 Shanghai and No. 4 Zverev at the 2024 Montreal ATP Masters 1000 tournaments. He also had impressive performances by winning the 2021 Parma title without dropping a set and winning the 2024 Washington title, where his father had previously won in 1992, making them the first father-son duo to win the same ATP Tour event. Korda has also reached the fourth round at both the 2020 Roland Garros and 2021 Wimbledon, joining Borg and Pernfors as the only men’s players in the Open Era to achieve this feat in their debut at both events. Additionally, he became the World No. 1 junior by winning the 2018 Australian Open boys’ singles title, following in his father’s footsteps who won the Australian Open men’s singles title 20 years prior. Korda comes from a talented sporting family, with his father and mother reaching high rankings in tennis and his sister Nelly becoming the World No. 1 women’s golfer in 2021, while his other sister Jessica peaked at No. 8 in women’s golf. It’s worth noting that Korda has struggled against Top 20 players on clay, with a 3-8 record, and is looking for his first win since defeating No. 17 Opelka in Madrid 1R in 2022. He aims to reach the Round of 16 at an ATP Masters 1000 event on clay for the second time after achieving this in 2022 Monte-Carlo.

Casper Ruud, 26 years old and currently ranked No. 15 in the world, holds the title of being the top-ranked Norwegian in history. He achieved his career-high ranking of No. 2 after reaching the final of the 2022 US Open. Ruud is the first Norwegian to win an ATP Tour title, with 12 titles to his name, and to play at the Nitto ATP Finals in 2021 and reach the semifinals in 2024, as well as the final in 2022. He has also reached a Grand Slam final at Roland Garros in 2022 and 2023, and the US Open in 2023, along with reaching an ATP Masters 1000 final at Miami in 2022 and Monte-Carlo in 2024. Ruud made history by winning three consecutive clay-court titles in Bastad, Gstaad, and Kitzbuhel in July 2021, becoming the first player to achieve this since Andy Murray in 2011. He leads the ATP Tour in clay-court wins, finals, and titles since the start of the 2020 season, with the highlight being his biggest career title at the 2024 Barcelona tournament. Ruud’s most significant win came against World No. 1 Djokovic on his way to the final of the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo. In the upcoming match, Ruud aims to achieve his 150th tour-level win on clay, as he currently stands at 149-54. He would become the third man born in 1990 or later to achieve this feat after Thiem (167 wins) and Zverev (160 wins). Ruud has had a strong start this season, winning 15 matches after winning the first set, and is looking to record his first Top 30 win since defeating No. 25 Machac and No. 14 Hurkacz in the United Cup tournament.

Both players will face each other in Arantxa Sanchez Stadium for what promises to be an exciting match in Montreal.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Korda will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud prediction.