Prediction Of Fritz Vs Ruud H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Taylor Fritz Play Against Casper Ruud?

Fritz and Ruud are on the Day 7 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Tuesday 29 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the 4th round of the tournament, Taylor Fritz from the USA will be facing Casper Ruud from Norway. Ruud currently leads the head-to-head record with 2 wins to 1.

Their previous matches took place at the 2022 Nitto ATP Finals in Italy, where Ruud won with a score of 6-3 4-6 7-6(6) on a hard court, and at the 2024 Roland Garros in France, where Ruud again defeated Fritz with a score of 7-6(6) 3-6 6-4 6-2 on clay. However, Fritz managed to secure a win in their encounter at the 2024 US Open in the US, with a score of 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 on a hard court.

Analyzing their performance over the past 52 weeks, Fritz has a better attack conversion rate at 28%, compared to Ruud’s 24%. However, Ruud has a higher score steal rate at 32%, as compared to Fritz’s 29%. In terms of serve and return quality, Fritz has an average score of 8.7 for serve quality, 7.3 for return quality, 8.1 for forehand quality, and 7.7 for backhand quality. On the other hand, Ruud has an average score of 7.9 for serve quality, 7.1 for return quality, 8.0 for forehand quality, and 7.6 for backhand quality. These scores are evaluated against the tour average, which stands at 7.9 for serve quality, 6.5 for return quality, 7.5 for forehand quality, and 7.1 for backhand quality.

Focusing on Taylor Fritz, he is currently 27 years old and holds the world No. 4 ranking, which is his career-high. In 2025, he has a record of 16 wins and 6 losses, reaching the semifinals in Miami and the semifinals in Madrid in 2024. Fritz has achieved significant milestones in his career, including becoming the first American man since Blake in 2006 to play in the Nitto ATP Finals championship match and finish inside the Top 5 of the year-end rankings. Additionally, he reached the final of the 2024 US Open, making him the first American Grand Slam men’s singles finalist since 2009. Fritz has also defeated top-ranked players like Nadal in the 2022 Nitto ATP Finals and became the first American men’s champion at the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells since Agassi in 2001.

Turning to Casper Ruud, he is currently 26 years old and holds the world No. 15 ranking, with a career-high ranking of No. 2. In 2025, he has accumulated a record of 17 wins and 6 losses, including reaching the final in Dallas and the semifinals in Madrid in 2021. Ruud has made history for Norwegian tennis, becoming the first Norwegian to win an ATP Tour title, play at the Nitto ATP Finals, and reach a Grand Slam final and an ATP Masters 1000 final. He has had particular success on clay courts, winning three titles in as many weeks in July 2021. Ruud holds the record for the most clay-court wins, finals, and titles since the start of the 2020 season. Notably, he defeated Djokovic in the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo to secure the biggest win of his career.

As they face each other in the upcoming match, Fritz has the opportunity to achieve his 300th tour-level win and reach the ATP Masters 1000 QF for the 14th time. If he succeeds, he will join Ginepri as the only American men to reach the Madrid QFs in consecutive years. On the other hand, Ruud is aiming for his first win against a Top 5 player since the 2021 Nitto ATP Finals and his second victory in Madrid. He is also seeking his 13th ATP Masters 1000 QF, with his last QF appearance being in the Monte-Carlo final last year.

With regards to their performance on clay courts, Ruud holds the highest number of wins since the start of the 2020 season, with a record of 121-35. Tsitsipas follows with 95-25.

The match between Taylor Fritz and Casper Ruud will take place at the Arantxa Sanchez Stadium.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Fritz will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Taylor Fritz vs Casper Ruud, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Taylor Fritz vs Casper Ruud prediction.