Prediction Of Draper Vs Berrettini H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Jack Draper Play Against Matteo Berrettini?

Draper and Berrettini are on the Day 6 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Monday 28 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

[5] Jack Draper (GBR) is set to face [30] Matteo Berrettini (ITA) in their upcoming match. Draper currently leads their head-to-head record at 2-0. Previously, they have played in two tournaments: the Stuttgart tournament in Germany on grass, where Draper won 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4, and the Doha tournament in Qatar on hard court, where Draper also won with a score of 4-6 6-4 6-3.

Jack Draper, who is 23 years old, is currently ranked as the world number 6, which is his career-high ranking. His performance in 2025 has been impressive, with a record of 15-4. He won the Indian Wells title and reached the third round of the Madrid tournament. Draper’s rise in the rankings has been significant, breaking into the top 200 in February 2022, the top 100 in June 2022, and the top 50 in September 2022. He achieved his highest ranking of number 6 in April 2025 after winning his first ATP Masters 1000 title in Indian Wells.

In the 2024 season, Draper made quite an impact. He reached the semi-finals of the US Open without dropping a set, becoming the fourth British man in the Open Era to reach that stage, following in the footsteps of Rusedski, Henman, and Murray. Additionally, Draper secured his first ATP Tour title by defeating Berrettini in the final of the 2024 Stuttgart tournament. He also had an exceptional win at the Queen’s Club, defeating the world number 2 Alcaraz. Draper won his second title at the 2024 Vienna tournament, becoming the first man to achieve this feat on his tournament debut since Murray in 2014. Notably, Draper had several breakthroughs in his career in 2022 as well. He reached his first ATP Tour semi-final at Eastbourne as a wildcard, defeated top-ranked players such as Tsitsipas and Auger-Aliassime, and reached the third round of the US Open.

Matteo Berrettini, who is 29 years old, is currently ranked as the world number 31, with a career-high ranking of number 6. He reached this career-high after reaching the semi-finals of the Australian Open in 2022. Berrettini’s achievements make him the third-highest-ranked Italian player since the PIF ATP Rankings started in 1973, with Sinner at number 1 in 2024 and Panatta at number 4 in 1976. He made history as the first Italian men’s singles finalist at Wimbledon in 2021 and the first Italian Grand Slam men’s singles finalist since Panatta at the 1976 Roland Garros. Berrettini also holds other impressive records, including being the first Italian man to reach the quarter-finals of all four Grand Slam events and the first to secure a win at the Nitto ATP Finals.

Berrettini has shown a strong performance on grass, with a 42-11 record and four of his ten ATP Tour titles coming on this surface. He notably won the London/Queen’s Club tournament in 2021 and 2022, becoming the first player in the Open Era to win titles in each of his first two appearances at that event. Throughout his career, Berrettini has secured notable victories against top-ranked players such as Thiem, Ruud, and Zverev.

Heading into their upcoming match, it is worth mentioning that Draper has an impressive record of 18-2 against players ranked outside the top 10 since October, with his only losses coming in the recent ATP Masters 1000 events to eventual champions Mensik and Davidovich Fokina. He will be looking to secure back-to-back tour-level wins on clay for the third time in his career, following successful runs in the 2023 Lyon and 2024 Munich tournaments.

Similarly, it is important to note that Berrettini has a strong record on clay, with a 20-2 record since the start of the 2023 season. He recently achieved his 200th tour-level win of his career and has a record of 11-27 against top 10 players, with victories against Djokovic and Zverev in 2025.

Both players have had notable achievements and impressive records, making their upcoming match in Madrid highly anticipated. The match will be held on Court 4.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Draper will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini prediction.