Prediction Of Dimitrov Vs Jarry H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Grigor Dimitrov Play Against Nicolas Jarry?

Dimitrov and Jarry are on the Day 4 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Saturday 26 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Grigor Dimitrov and Nicolas Jarry have faced each other four times in the past, with the series tied at 2-2. The most recent match took place in Barcelona, where Jarry won after a tough three-set battle. Jarry also emerged victorious in their previous encounter in Geneva. However, Dimitrov has had his share of success against Jarry, defeating him in the ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai and the ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo.

Dimitrov, aged 33, is currently ranked 16th in the world. He reached a career-high ranking of 3rd in 2017. He has a record of 12 wins and 7 losses in 2025, with 2 semifinal appearances. In Madrid, his record is 12 wins and 11 losses, reaching the quarterfinals in 2015. Dimitrov made history as the first debutant to go 5-0 to win the Nitto ATP Finals title since McEnroe in 1978. He is the highest-ranked Bulgarian player of all time and has won 9 titles, including the 2017 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati. Notably, Dimitrov’s biggest win came against Djokovic at the 2013 ATP Masters 1000 Madrid. He has reached the semifinals of three Grand Slam tournaments and 12 ATP Masters 1000 tournaments, including finals at Cincinnati, Paris, and Miami.

In the 2019 US Open, Dimitrov secured his first win in 8 meetings against Federer, becoming the second-lowest-ranked US Open men’s semi-finalist in history. It is worth mentioning that Dimitrov has a great track record in Madrid, with this being his 12th consecutive main draw appearance. He had a remarkable debut, defeating Djokovic, and reached the quarterfinals a decade ago. Dimitrov has an outstanding record of 19 wins and 2 losses against players outside the top 50 on clay since 2022 season, with his only defeats coming against Jarry in the 2023 Geneva final and Mensik in Madrid 2R last year. He has also achieved impressive results in various ATP Masters 1000 events, with his best results coming in Indian Wells, Miami, Cincinnati, Monte-Carlo, Shanghai, Paris, and Rome.

On the other hand, Nicolas Jarry, aged 29, is currently ranked 57th in the world and reached a career-high ranking of 16th in May 2024. After starting 2021 unranked, he made significant progress and reached the ATP Masters 1000 final in Rome, becoming the first Chilean since Gonzalez in 2007 to achieve this feat. In 2023, Jarry won his second ATP Tour title in Santiago, his hometown, after rallying from a set down three times during the tournament. He also claimed the title in Geneva, defeating former champions Ruud and Zverev along the way. Jarry joined his compatriot Garin as a first-time ATP Tour champion in 2019 when he won the Bastad title without dropping a set. He has had notable victories over top-ranked opponents, such as saving a match point against A. Zverev in 2019 Barcelona and upsetting him in the Geneva final a month later.

In his junior career, Jarry reached a peak ranking of 8th and advanced to the 2013 Roland Garros boys’ doubles final with his countryman Garin. Jarry comes from a family with a strong tennis background, as his parents Allan and Cecilia were former professional volleyball players, and his grandfather, Jaime Fillol, great-uncle, Alvaro Fillol, and uncle, Martin Rodriguez, were former ATP players.

In the current Madrid tournament, Jarry earned his first win by defeating Altmaier in the first round. He is now aiming to secure his first top 20 win since his back-to-back victories over Tsitsipas and Paul in the ATP Masters 1000 Rome last year. Jarry would become the fourth Chilean to reach the third round in Madrid, following the footsteps of Massu in 2003, Gonzalez from 2005 to 2007, and Garin in 2021.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Dimitrov will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Grigor Dimitrov vs Nicolas Jarry, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Grigor Dimitrov vs Nicolas Jarry prediction.