Prediction Of Dimitrov Vs Alcaraz H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Grigor Dimitrov Play Against Carlos Alcaraz?

Dimitrov and Alcaraz are on the Day 8 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Wednesday 12 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their previous meetings, Carlos Alcaraz has a 3-2 head-to-head lead over Grigor Dimitrov. They have faced each other in various tournaments, including the ATP Masters 1000 in Paris, Madrid, Shanghai, and Miami. Alcaraz won the matches at Paris, Madrid, and London/Queen’s Club, while Dimitrov emerged victorious in their meetings in Shanghai and Miami.

Looking into their previous encounter at the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 in Miami, Dimitrov delivered an outstanding performance and achieved a Performance Rating of 9.28. He won the match in just two sets, with Alcaraz also performing well and earning a Performance Rating of 8.38. Dimitrov excelled in all seven insights and impressed with his strong forehand, hitting at 83mph compared to the tour average of 76mph.

Grigor Dimitrov, aged 33 and currently ranked World No. 15, has had a successful career. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 3 in the world and has won nine titles, including the 2017 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati. Dimitrov has reached the semifinals of Grand Slam events such as Wimbledon in 2014, the Australian Open in 2017, and the US Open in 2019. He has also had success in ATP Masters 1000 tournaments, reaching the finals in Cincinnati, Paris, and Miami. Notably, Dimitrov achieved his first victory against Roger Federer in the quarterfinals of the 2019 US Open.

On the other hand, Carlos Alcaraz, aged 21 and currently ranked World No. 3, has made remarkable achievements at a young age. He became the youngest and first teenage World No. 1 in history and earned the year-end No. 1 ranking in the PIF ATP Rankings. Alcaraz won his first Grand Slam title at the 2022 US Open, defeating Ruud and becoming the youngest champion at the tournament since Sampras in 1990. He has also won the 2024 Roland Garros, defeating Sinner and Zverev in five-set matches. Alcaraz has defeated Djokovic in the Wimbledon finals and became the second man in the Open Era to win his first four Grand Slam finals. He also holds the record as the youngest ATP 500 champion and has won ATP Masters 1000 titles in Madrid and Miami.

As Alcaraz enters the match against Dimitrov, he is on a 14-match winning streak at the event and aims to become the fifth player in ATP Masters 1000 history to three-peat at a tournament, joining Agassi, Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal. Meanwhile, Dimitrov, with a record of 20-55 against top-five players, seeks to secure his first win against Alcaraz since defeating him and Zverev to reach the ATP Masters 1000 Miami final in March last year. Dimitrov looks to advance to his 21st ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal and become the fifth player to defeat Alcaraz three times.

In terms of head-to-head records against Alcaraz, the players who have the most wins are Alexander Zverev with a 6-5 record, Novak Djokovic with a 5-3 record, Jannik Sinner with a 4-6 record, and Felix Auger-Aliassime with a 3-4 record.

In summary, both players have had previous successful encounters, with Alcaraz leading in their head-to-head record. Dimitrov delivered an exceptional performance in their last meeting, but Alcaraz has been on a winning streak and aims to three-peat at the event.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Dimitrov will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction.