Prediction Of Arnaldi Vs Nakashima H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Delray Beach Open 2025?

What Time Will Matteo Arnaldi Play Against Brandon Nakashima?

Arnaldi and Nakashima are on the Day 5 Schedule at Delray Beach Open 2025 on Friday 14 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their upcoming match, Matteo Arnaldi from Italy will be facing Brandon Nakashima from the USA. Nakashima currently leads the head-to-head record 1-0. This match is part of the 2022 Next Gen ATP Finals in Italy, which is being played on a hard court. Their previous encounter at the tournament saw Nakashima win with a score of 2-4, 4-3(7), 4-3(4), 3-4(4), 4-2.

Matteo Arnaldi, 23 years old, is currently ranked World No. 38 and reached his career-high ranking of No. 30 in August 2024. He achieved this after reaching the semifinals of the ATP Masters 1000 in Montreal. Arnaldi’s breakthrough came in September 2021 when he entered the top 500, followed by the top 200 in August 2022, and the top 100 in May 2023. In 2025, he has a 4-3 record with two quarterfinal appearances. In the current tournament, he has a 2-1 record, having reached the quarterfinals.

Throughout his career, Arnaldi has achieved several significant milestones. He reached his first ATP Tour quarterfinal and semifinal at the Umag tournament in 2023. The same year, he reached the fourth round of a Grand Slam for the first time at the US Open. In 2023, Arnaldi also qualified for the third round of the ATP Masters 1000 Madrid, defeating the No. 4 ranked player, Casper Ruud. This victory stands as the biggest win of his career at that time. Additionally, he won his first ATP Challenger title in Francavilla al Mare and has an overall record of 59-39 at the Challenger level.

In his junior career, Arnaldi peaked at No. 22 in the rankings. He had a singles record of 80-42, winning three titles, and a doubles record of 34-35, winning two titles.

Arnaldi is looking to reach his third ATP Tour semifinal and has previously reached the semifinals in Umag in 2023 and the ATP Masters 1000 in Montreal in 2024, where he lost to Alexei Popyrin and Andrey Rublev, respectively. A win in this match would make him only the second Italian semi-finalist in the tournament’s history, alongside Davide Sanguinetti who reached the final in 1998 and won the title in 2002. Arnaldi aims to secure his second win against a top 50 player in 2025, after defeating No. 24 Popyrin in the first round of the Brisbane tournament.

Brandon Nakashima, also 23 years old, is currently ranked World No. 43 and achieved his career-high ranking of No. 35 in September 2024. He broke into the top 50 in July 2022. Nakashima’s rise in the rankings came after notable wins over Rune and Musetti at the US Open, where he reached the fourth round. He won the 2022 Next Gen ATP Finals in Milan, going undefeated with a 5-0 record. In 2022, Nakashima also won his first ATP Tour title in his hometown of San Diego, defeating Marcos Giron.

As a 19-year-old in 2021, Nakashima played in back-to-back ATP Tour finals in Los Cabos and Atlanta, becoming the youngest American player to achieve this since Andy Roddick in 2001-2002. He has reached the third round of Roland Garros, the fourth round of Wimbledon, and the third round of the US Open in 2022. Notably, Nakashima secured his first career victories against top 20 players with wins over Denis Shapovalov and Grigor Dimitrov in Wimbledon and the US Open, respectively.

This will be Nakashima’s second appearance in the Delray Beach quarterfinals, having made his ATP Tour debut at the event as a wildcard ranked No. 294 in 2020. He remains the youngest American quarterfinalist in the history of the tournament. Nakashima has a total of six ATP Tour semifinal appearances, with a record of 3-3. Among these, he has reached the semifinals in Atlanta in 2021, San Diego in 2022, and Hangzhou in September.

As they face each other in the quarterfinals, both players will be looking to advance to the semifinals and continue their impressive performances in the tournament.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Arnaldi will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima prediction.