Get all the information around bookmaking market for the Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka game for the U.S. Open – New York 2025 on the September 4, 2025, in the forecast below. We uncover the Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka picks, best bets and odds for this match in the our report beneath.
Prediction Indicated By Odds: Naomi Osaka to win
- Implied from the sportsbook odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to get the victory in this match with a 59.90% chance to win. An accurate prediction? Most likely, as Bookies are experts:
Karolina Muchova → 2.42
Naomi Osaka → 1.62Prediction Chance Of Win Naomi Osaka 59.90 % Karolina Muchova 40.10 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.
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Prediction Based On Head-2-Head: Too even to call it
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | 2 |
| Naomi Osaka | 2 |
H2H: Karolina Muchova (2 – 2) Naomi Osaka.
It’s too close to call! Can either team break the deadlock? Analyzing the last 4 direct encounters between these two sides, both players has the same number of victories. Our head-to-head analysis starts from the fixture between them in 2020. This suggests that the upcoming fixture is a balanced contest. The last game was on the Wed, 15 Jan 25, where Naomi Osaka secured a 1-6-6 – 6-1-3 victory.
Will this be the match that sets them apart? Both Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka share the same number of wins. This upcoming clash could be the turning point.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Naomi Osaka to win
Analyzing current performance before this fixture, Karolina Muchova secured victory up against Marta Kostyuk with a score of 6-6-6/3-7(0)-3. Naomi Osaka triumphed facing Cori Gauff with a score of 6-6/3-2. Karolina Muchova have prevailed in 7 of their last 10 games vs all teams, while Naomi Osaka triumphed in 9 of their recent 10 matches against all teams, suggesting perhaps Naomi Osaka is in better shape approaching this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Naomi Osaka
- Karolina Muchova has won 7 of the last 10 matches played, while Naomi Osaka has secured 9 victories over the same range.
- Karolina Muchova has been winning 45% of their own second serve points, and 49% of their opponents, while Naomi Osaka has won 43% of their second serve points and 51% of their opponents.
- Karolina Muchova comes into this match having won a 2 hours 53 min battle vs Marta Kostyuk in which he managed to win 44% of return points (182/417), hitting 17 aces himself during the match.
- Naomi Osaka comes into this match having won a 1 hour 4 min battle vs Cori Gauff in which he managed to win 54% of return points (121/225), hitting 23 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Karolina Muchova has been holding serve 82% of the time (50/61), while Naomi Osaka has held their serve 79% of the time (30/38.
Career Performance Prediction: Naomi Osaka
- Karolina Muchova has a career high ranking of 13, while Naomi Osaka has a career high rank of 24.
- Karolina Muchova has claimed 3 Career titles and career earnings of $86,38,040, versus 8 trophies for Naomi Osaka and $2,35,26,284 prize money.
- Karolina Muchova has a 55% deciding set win % (36/65), compared to 65% for Naomi Osaka (66/101)
- The 1st serve of Karolina Muchova has resulted in her winning 65% of points, and Naomi Osaka has won 56% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 50% for Karolina Muchova and 49% for Naomi Osaka.
- After losing the first set, Karolina Muchova manages to turn the match around and win it 22% of the time, and Naomi Osaka has a 28% record in eventually winning the match.
