Jordan Thompson vs Corentin Moutet Prediction – ATP U.S. Open – 24th August 2025 Best Bets

Jordan Thompson and Corentin Moutet Prediction Head To Head Summary

Thompson vs Moutet Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Moutet has a 71.43% chance to win this match.

Thompson → 3.19. Moutet → 1.4.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Thompson vs Moutet Upcoming Match Details:

Thompson will play Moutet on Hard court in the First round at the ATP U.S. Open event in New York Men’s Singles 2025 on 24th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Thompson 0-1 Moutet

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Thompson comes into this match with a ranking of 57 , while Moutet is ranked 41.

Thompson vs Moutet Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Moutet has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Thompson has won 51% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Moutet has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Thompson has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 40% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Moutet has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Thompson has saved 65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Moutet performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 187/107) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 54% (W/L 61/52). Thompson performs best on I.hard, winning 65% (W/L 41/22), and performs worse on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 88/67).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Corentin Moutet has converted 32% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jordan Thompson has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Jordan Thompson played Adrian Mannarino in the First round at the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati and lost 6-2 6-2 in 01:28:20 . Corentin Moutet played Alex Michelsen in the Second round at the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati and lost 3-6 6-3 6-4 in 02:26:12.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jordan Thompson and Corentin Moutet

Of their last 10 matches played, Thompson has won 5, while Moutet has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Thompson has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 92.06 , while Moutet has won 45% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 93.8.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Thompson Vs Moutet

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Thompson has won 17 titles in his career, while Corentin Moutet has won 12 events. Thompson has won 51% (50936 of 100038) of points played in his entire career, and Moutet has achieved 51% (40493 of 79977). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Thompson has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (161 of 295), whereas Corentin Moutet has won 51% (97 of 190). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Corentin Moutet has an 57.51% probability of winning this match.

Jordan Thompson vs Corentin Moutet Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Corentin Moutet To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jordan Thompson has a 42.49% chance of winning and Corentin Moutet has a 57.51% chance of taking the victory. We tip Moutet to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.