Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction &#8211; ATP U.S. Open &#8211; 27th August 2025 Best Bets

Jordan Thompson and Adrian Mannarino Prediction Head To Head Summary

Thompson vs Mannarino Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Thompson has a 57.80% chance to win this match.

Thompson → 2.15. Mannarino → 1.73.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Thompson vs Mannarino Upcoming Match Details:

Thompson will play Mannarino on Hard court in the Second round at the ATP U.S. Open event in New York Men’s Singles 2025 on 27th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Thompson 4-6 Mannarino

The current Head to Head score is 4-6. Thompson comes into this match with a ranking of 58 , while Mannarino is ranked 77.

Thompson vs Mannarino Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Mannarino has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Thompson has won 51% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Mannarino has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Thompson has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 40% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Mannarino has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Thompson has saved 65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Surface prediction: Mannarino performs best on Grass, winning 61% (W/L 108/70) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 38% (W/L 80/132). Thompson performs best on I.hard, winning 65% (W/L 41/22), and performs worse on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 88/67).
In play break point conversion prediction: Adrian Mannarino has converted 26% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jordan Thompson has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Jordan Thompson played Corentin Moutet in the First round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3 in 02:55:00 . Adrian Mannarino played Tallon Griekspoor in the First round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 7-5 6-4 6-0 in 02:26:00.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Thompson Vs Mannarino Prediction Stats At U.S. Open Day 3

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jordan Thompson and Adrian Mannarino

Of their last 10 matches played, Thompson has won 5, while Mannarino has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Thompson has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 91.78 , while Mannarino has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 67.08.
Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Thompson Vs Mannarino

Thompson Vs Mannarino Prediction H2H & All U.S. Open Day 3 Predictions

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Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Thompson has won 17 titles in his career, while Adrian Mannarino has won 27 events. Thompson has won 51% (51050 of 100251) of points played in his entire career, and Mannarino has achieved 50% (74677 of 148418). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Thompson has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (161 of 295), whereas Adrian Mannarino has won 49% (212 of 429). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jordan Thompson has an 62.08% probability of winning this match.

Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jordan Thompson To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jordan Thompson has a 62.08% chance of winning and Adrian Mannarino has a 37.92% chance of taking the victory. We tip Thompson to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.