Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction – WTA Bad Homburg Open – 27th June 2025 Best Bets

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Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction – WTA Bad Homburg Open  – 27th June 2025 Best Bets

Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini Prediction Head To Head Summary

Swiatek Vs Paolini H2H Summary Stats 27th June 2025

Swiatek vs Paolini Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Swiatek has a 67.11% chance to win this match.

Swiatek → 1.49. Paolini → 2.75.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Swiatek vs Paolini Upcoming Match Details:

Swiatek will play Paolini on Grass court in the Semifinals at the WTA Bad Homburg Open event in Bad Homburg Women’s Singles 2025 on 27th June 2025.

Head-to-Head: Swiatek 4-0 Paolini

The current Head to Head score is 4-0. Swiatek comes into this match with a ranking of 8 , while Paolini is ranked 4.

Swiatek vs Paolini Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

  • Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Paolini has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Swiatek has won 39% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
  • Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Paolini has won 34% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Swiatek has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
  • Performance under pressure prediction: Paolini has been saving 46% of his breakpoints, and Swiatek has saved 45% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Surface prediction: Paolini performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 226/127) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 16/16). Swiatek performs best on Clay, winning 87% (W/L 148/22), and performs worse on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 20/8).
  • In play break point conversion prediction: Jasmine Paolini has converted 40% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Iga Swiatek has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
  • Last match played: In the match before this one, Iga Swiatek played Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Quarterfinals at the Bad Homburg Open – Bad Homburg and won 6-4 7-6(5) in 01:55:04 . Jasmine Paolini played Beatriz Haddad Maia in the Quarterfinals at the Bad Homburg Open – Bad Homburg and won 7-5 7-5 in 01:35:34.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Swiatek Vs Paolini Prediction Stats At Bad Homburg Open  Day 5

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini

Of their last 10 matches played, Swiatek has won 8, while Paolini has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Grass in recent matches, Swiatek has won 48% of her own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 215.11 , while Paolini has won 47% of her own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 231.38.

Megan@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Swiatek Vs Paolini

Swiatek Vs Paolini Prediction H2H & All Bad Homburg Open  Day 5 Predictions

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Swiatek has won 30 titles in her career, while Jasmine Paolini has won 14 events. Swiatek has won 55% (31515 of 57288) of points played in her entire career, and Paolini has achieved 51% (39830 of 78751). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Swiatek has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (40 of 76), whereas Jasmine Paolini has won 54% (76 of 141). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Iga Swiatek has an 63.45% probability of winning this match.

Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Iga Swiatek To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Iga Swiatek has a 63.45% chance of winning and Jasmine Paolini has a 36.55% chance of taking the victory. We tip Swiatek to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Bad Homburg Open – Bad Homburg, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Iga Swiatek

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jasmine Paolini