Lucrezia Stefanini and Tatjana Maria Prediction Head To Head Summary

Stefanini vs Maria Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Maria has a 40.65% win this match.
Stefanini → 2.46. Maria → 1.53.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Stefanini vs Maria Upcoming Match Details:
Stefanini will play Maria on Hard court in the First round at the WTA Puerto Vallarta Open event in Puerto Vallarta Women’s Singles 2025 on 24th March 2025.
Rebeka Masarova
Peyton Stearns
Brandon Nakashima
Flavio Cobolli
Sebastian Korda
Casper Ruud
Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco Comesana
Alex De Minaur
Denis Shapovalov
Sofia Kenin
Anastasia Potapova
Alexander Bublik
Andrey Rublev
Mirra Andreeva
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Maria Sakkari
Jasmine Paolini
Veronika Kudermetova
Marta Kostyuk
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Daria Kasatkina
Grigor Dimitrov
Jacob Fearnley
Diana Shnaider
Iga Swiatek
Jack Draper
Matteo Berrettini
Elena Rybakina
Elina Svitolina
Head-to-Head: Stefanini 1-1 Maria
The current Head to Head score is 1-1. Stefanini comes into this match with a ranking of 146 , while Maria is ranked 86.
Stefanini vs Maria Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Maria has won 42% of points on his second serve, while Stefanini has won 38% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Maria has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Stefanini has won 39%. The same stats for second serve return points are 51% and 53% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Maria has been saving 47% of his breakpoints, and Stefanini has saved 47% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Maria performs best on Grass, winning 65% (W/L 68/36) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 50% (W/L 214/210). Stefanini performs best on Hard, winning 64% (W/L 108/62), and performs worse on Grass, winning 53% (W/L 10/9).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Tatjana Maria has converted 36% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Lucrezia Stefanini has converted 44% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Lucrezia Stefanini played Rebecca Sramkova in the First round at the Miami Open – Miami and lost 3-6 6-1 6-3 in 01:48:30 . Tatjana Maria played Yuliia Starodubtseva in the Q3 round at the Miami Open – Miami and lost 6-4 6-3 in 01:21:26.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Lucrezia Stefanini and Tatjana Maria
Of their last 10 matches played, Stefanini has won 6, while Maria has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Stefanini has won 44% of her own 2nd serve points and 49% of return points , while Maria has won 44% of her own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Stefanini Vs Maria

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Stefanini has won 10 titles in her career, while Tatjana Maria has won 26 events. Stefanini has won 51% (35056 of 68388) of points played in her entire career, and Maria has achieved 50% (50906 of 101353). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Stefanini has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (54 of 110), whereas Tatjana Maria has won 51% (120 of 234). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Tatjana Maria has an 79.05% probability of winning this match.
Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tatjana Maria Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Tatjana Maria To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Lucrezia Stefanini has a 20.95% chance of winning and Tatjana Maria has a 79.05% chance of taking the victory. We tip Maria to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Puerto Vallarta Open – Puerto Vallarta, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Lucrezia Stefanini
- Shibahara vs Stefanini H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Chang vs Stefanini H2H (1-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Dart vs Stefanini H2H (1-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Cristian vs Stefanini H2H (1-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Marino vs Stefanini H2H (0-1) , could play in The Second round
- Burrage vs Stefanini H2H (0-1) , could play in The Second round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Tatjana Maria
- Shibahara vs Maria H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Chang vs Maria H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Dart vs Maria H2H (0-2) , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Cristian vs Maria H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Marino vs Maria H2H (2-1) , could play in The Second round
- Burrage vs Maria H2H (0-1) , could play in The Second round