Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction Head To Head Summary

Sinner vs Aliassime Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Sinner has a 87.72% chance to win this match.
Sinner → 1.14. Aliassime → 7.74.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Sinner vs Aliassime Upcoming Match Details:
Sinner will play Aliassime on I.hard court in the Robin round at the ATP Nitto ATP Finals event in Turin Men’s Singles 2025 on 10th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Sinner 3-2 Aliassime
The current Head to Head score is 3-2. Sinner comes into this match with a ranking of 2 , while Aliassime is ranked 8.
Sinner vs Aliassime Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Aliassime has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Sinner has won 41% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Aliassime has won 20% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sinner has won 21%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 40% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Aliassime has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Sinner has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Aliassime performs best on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 101/43) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 131/93). Sinner performs best on I.hard, winning 81% (W/L 110/25), and performs worse on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 98/45).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Felix Auger Aliassime has converted 25% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jannik Sinner has converted 25% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Jannik Sinner played Felix Auger Aliassime in the Final at the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris and won 6-4 7-6(4) in 01:52:12 . Felix Auger Aliassime played Jannik Sinner in the Final at the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris and lost 6-4 7-6(4) in 01:52:12.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sinner Vs Aliassime

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Sinner has won 30 titles in his career, while Felix Auger Aliassime has won 14 events. Sinner has won 53% (42271 of 79257) of points played in his entire career, and Aliassime has achieved 52% (46999 of 91133). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sinner has won 63% of tie breaks in his entire career (125 of 197), whereas Felix Auger Aliassime has won 59% (173 of 293). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jannik Sinner has an 55.86% probability of winning this match.
Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jannik Sinner To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jannik Sinner has a 55.86% chance of winning and Felix Auger Aliassime has a 44.14% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sinner to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin.







