The current Head to Head score is 4-3. Sabalenka comes into this match with a ranking of 1 , while Alexandrova is ranked 26.
Sabalenka vs Alexandrova Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alexandrova has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Sabalenka has won 51% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alexandrova has won 35% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sabalenka has won 36%. The same stats for second serve return points are 57% and 63% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Alexandrova has been saving 63% of his breakpoints, and Sabalenka has saved 63% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Alexandrova has won 58% of matches played (W/L 14/10) with Sabalenka winning 89% (W/L 33/4).
Surface prediction: Alexandrova performs best on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 118/52) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 113/90). Sabalenka performs best on Hard, winning 73% (W/L 272/99), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 41/24).
In play break point conversion prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova has converted 46% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Aryna Sabalenka has converted 49% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Aryna Sabalenka played Madison Keys in the Final at the Australian Open – Melbourne and lost 6-3 2-6 7-5 in 02:02:00 . Ekaterina Alexandrova played Emma Raducanu in the First round at the Qatar TotalEnergies Open – Doha and won 6-3 7-5 in 01:42:42.
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova
Of their last 10 matches played, Sabalenka has won 9, while Alexandrova has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Sabalenka has won 51% of her own 2nd serve points and 47% of return points , while Alexandrova has won 42% of her own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points.
Lei@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sabalenka Vs Alexandrova
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Sabalenka has won 27 titles in her career, while Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 15 events. Sabalenka has won 53% (43673 of 83057) of points played in her entire career, and Alexandrova has achieved 51% (36683 of 71583). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sabalenka has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (92 of 160), whereas Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 53% (109 of 206). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Aryna Sabalenka has an 59.66% probability of winning this match.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Aryna Sabalenka has a 59.66% chance of winning and Ekaterina Alexandrova has a 40.34% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sabalenka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Value Bets For Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.
To see all live tennis scores for the Qatar TotalEnergies Open – Doha, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Aryna Sabalenka
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.