Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi Prediction – ATP Perugia Challenger – 14th June 2025 Best Bets

Andrea Pellegrino and Luca Nardi Prediction Head To Head Summary

Pellegrino vs Nardi Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nardi has a 62.89% chance to win this match.

Pellegrino → 2.31. Nardi → 1.59.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Pellegrino vs Nardi Upcoming Match Details:

Pellegrino will play Nardi on Clay court in the Semifinals at the ATP Perugia Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 14th June 2025.

Head-to-Head: Pellegrino 0-0 Nardi

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Pellegrino comes into this match with a ranking of 173 , while Nardi is ranked 98.

Pellegrino vs Nardi Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Nardi has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Pellegrino has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Nardi has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Pellegrino has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 41% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Nardi has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Pellegrino has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Nardi performs best on Hard, winning 59% (W/L 57/39) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 29% (W/L 2/5). Pellegrino performs best on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 260/204), and performs worse on Grass, winning 20% (W/L 1/4).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Luca Nardi has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Andrea Pellegrino has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Andrea Pellegrino played Francesco Passaro in the Quarterfinals at the Perugia Challenger and won 6-4 7-6(4) in 01:55:10 . Luca Nardi played Luka Pavlovic in the Quarterfinals at the Perugia Challenger and won 6-3 7-5 in 01:24:23.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Andrea Pellegrino and Luca Nardi

Of their last 10 matches played, Pellegrino has won 7, while Nardi has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Pellegrino has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 252.96 , while Nardi has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 142.31.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Pellegrino Vs Nardi

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Pellegrino has won 8 titles in his career, while Luca Nardi has won 10 events. Pellegrino has won 50% (37541 of 75008) of points played in his entire career, and Nardi has achieved 51% (23328 of 46145). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Pellegrino has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (86 of 167), whereas Luca Nardi has won 46% (52 of 114). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Luca Nardi has an 52.96% probability of winning this match.

Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Luca Nardi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Andrea Pellegrino has a 47.04% chance of winning and Luca Nardi has a 52.96% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nardi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Perugia Challenger, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Andrea Pellegrino

• Pellegrino vs Basile H2H () , could play in The Final
• Pellegrino vs Fatic H2H () , could play in The Final