Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Keys has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Pegula has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Keys has won 36% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Pegula has won 38%. The same stats for second serve return points are 59% and 57% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Keys has been saving 61% of his breakpoints, and Pegula has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Keys has won 67% of matches played (W/L 10/5) with Pegula winning 76% (W/L 22/7).
Surface prediction: Keys performs best on Grass, winning 72% (W/L 50/19) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/15). Pegula performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 254/125), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 31/23).
In play break point conversion prediction: Madison Keys has converted 44% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jessica Pegula has converted 49% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Jessica Pegula played Yulia Putintseva in the Semifinals at the Adelaide International – Adelaide and won 7-6(4) 6-3 in 01:29:20 . Madison Keys played Liudmila Samsonova in the Semifinals at the Adelaide International – Adelaide and won 5-7 7-5 3-0 ret. in 01:59:26.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jessica Pegula and Madison Keys
Of their last 10 matches played, Pegula has won 6, while Keys has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Pegula has won 48% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points , while Keys has won 47% of her own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Pegula Vs Keys
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Pegula has won 7 titles in her career, while Madison Keys has won 13 events. Pegula has won 52% (38010 of 73268) of points played in her entire career, and Keys has achieved 52% (39065 of 74853). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Pegula has won 59% of tie breaks in his entire career (97 of 164), whereas Madison Keys has won 57% (92 of 161). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Madison Keys has an 62.64% probability of winning this match.
Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Madison Keys To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jessica Pegula has a 37.36% chance of winning and Madison Keys has a 62.64% chance of taking the victory. We tip Keys to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Pegula vs Keys
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys here.
To see the full prediction for Pegula vs Keys at Adelaide International – Adelaide, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Adelaide International Day 6 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Adelaide International – Adelaide, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jessica Pegula
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends. His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way. He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
