Sebastian Ofner vs Hugo Gaston Prediction – ATP Mutua Madrid Open – 23rd April 2025 Best Bets

Sebastian Ofner and Hugo Gaston Prediction Head To Head Summary

Ofner vs Gaston Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Gaston has a 63.69% chance to win this match.

Ofner → 2.5. Gaston → 1.57.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Ofner vs Gaston Upcoming Match Details:

Ofner will play Gaston on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Mutua Madrid Open event in Madrid Men’s Singles 2025 on 23rd April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Ofner 2-1 Gaston

The current Head to Head score is 2-1. Ofner comes into this match with a ranking of 153 , while Gaston is ranked 80.

Ofner vs Gaston Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Gaston has won 41% of points on his second serve, while Ofner has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Gaston has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Ofner has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 50% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Gaston has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Ofner has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Gaston performs best on Clay, winning 61% (W/L 134/85) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 44% (W/L 7/9). Ofner performs best on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 26/18), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 51% (W/L 44/42).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Hugo Gaston has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Ofner has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Ofner played Vilius Gaubas in the Second round at the Madrid Challenger and lost 4-6 6-3 6-3 in 01:49:56 . Hugo Gaston played Luca Nardi in the Q3 round at the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid and won 6-4 6-2 in 01:20:24.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sebastian Ofner and Hugo Gaston

Of their last 10 matches played, Ofner has won 5, while Gaston has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Ofner has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points , while Gaston has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Ofner Vs Gaston

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Ofner has won 9 titles in his career, while Hugo Gaston has won 8 events. Ofner has won 51% (42804 of 84643) of points played in his entire career, and Gaston has achieved 50% (31178 of 62033). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Ofner has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (126 of 245), whereas Hugo Gaston has won 58% (87 of 149). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Hugo Gaston has an 54.07% probability of winning this match.

Sebastian Ofner vs Hugo Gaston Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Hugo Gaston To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Ofner has a 45.93% chance of winning and Hugo Gaston has a 54.07% chance of taking the victory. We tip Gaston to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid, go here.