Luca Nardi vs Elias Ymer Prediction – ATP Perugia Challenger – 11th June 2025 Best Bets

Luca Nardi and Elias Ymer Prediction Head To Head Summary

Nardi vs Ymer Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nardi has a 67.11% chance to win this match.

Nardi → 1.49. Ymer → 2.58.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Nardi vs Ymer Upcoming Match Details:

Nardi will play Ymer on Clay court in the Second round at the ATP Perugia Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 11th June 2025.

Head-to-Head: Nardi 0-0 Ymer

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Nardi comes into this match with a ranking of 98 , while Ymer is ranked 260.

Nardi vs Ymer Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Ymer has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Nardi has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Ymer has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Nardi has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Ymer has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Nardi has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Ymer performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 235/157) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 46% (W/L 86/101). Nardi performs best on Hard, winning 59% (W/L 57/39), and performs worse on Grass, winning 29% (W/L 2/5).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Elias Ymer has converted 30% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Luca Nardi has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Luca Nardi played Saba Purtseladze in the First round at the Perugia Challenger and won 6-0 6-2 in 00:47:20 . Elias Ymer played Giulio Zeppieri in the First round at the Perugia Challenger and won 7-5 6-4 in 01:33:52.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Luca Nardi and Elias Ymer

Of their last 10 matches played, Nardi has won 5, while Ymer has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Nardi has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 142.31 , while Ymer has won 45% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 166.93.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Nardi Vs Ymer

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Nardi has won 10 titles in his career, while Elias Ymer has won 13 events. Nardi has won 51% (23204 of 45929) of points played in his entire career, and Ymer has achieved 50% (50446 of 100492). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Nardi has won 46% of tie breaks in his entire career (52 of 114), whereas Elias Ymer has won 46% (118 of 259). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Luca Nardi has an 53.16% probability of winning this match.

Luca Nardi vs Elias Ymer Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Luca Nardi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Luca Nardi has a 53.16% chance of winning and Elias Ymer has a 46.84% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nardi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Perugia Challenger, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Luca Nardi

• Passaro vs Nardi H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Durasovic vs Nardi H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Bondioli vs Nardi H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Pellegrino vs Nardi H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Nardi vs Daniel H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Nardi vs Pavlovic H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Elias Ymer

• Passaro vs Ymer H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Durasovic vs Ymer H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Bondioli vs Ymer H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Pellegrino vs Ymer H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Ymer vs Daniel H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Ymer vs Pavlovic H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals