Luca Nardi and Luka Pavlovic Prediction Head To Head Summary

Nardi vs Pavlovic Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nardi has a 72.46% chance to win this match.
Nardi → 1.38. Pavlovic → 3.09.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Nardi vs Pavlovic Upcoming Match Details:
Nardi will play Pavlovic on Clay court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP Perugia Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 13th June 2025.
Head-to-Head: Nardi 0-0 Pavlovic
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Nardi comes into this match with a ranking of 98 , while Pavlovic is ranked 209.
Nardi vs Pavlovic Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Pavlovic has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Nardi has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Pavlovic has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Nardi has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Pavlovic has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Nardi has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Pavlovic performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 201/113) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 40% (W/L 6/9). Nardi performs best on Hard, winning 59% (W/L 57/39), and performs worse on Grass, winning 29% (W/L 2/5).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Luka Pavlovic has converted 25% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Luca Nardi has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Luca Nardi played Elias Ymer in the Second round at the Perugia Challenger and won 6-2 6-4 in 01:12:59 . Luka Pavlovic played Taro Daniel in the Second round at the Perugia Challenger and won 2-6 7-5 7-6(6) in 02:28:23.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Luca Nardi and Luka Pavlovic
Of their last 10 matches played, Nardi has won 5, while Pavlovic has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Nardi has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 142.31 , while Pavlovic has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 396.21.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Nardi Vs Pavlovic

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Nardi has won 10 titles in his career, while Luka Pavlovic has won 6 events. Nardi has won 51% (23260 of 46027) of points played in his entire career, and Pavlovic has achieved 51% (17052 of 33661). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Nardi has won 46% of tie breaks in his entire career (52 of 114), whereas Luka Pavlovic has won 54% (43 of 79). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Luca Nardi has an 72.81% probability of winning this match.
Luca Nardi vs Luka Pavlovic Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Luca Nardi To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Luca Nardi has a 72.81% chance of winning and Luka Pavlovic has a 27.19% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nardi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Perugia Challenger, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Luca Nardi
- Nardi vs Arnaboldi H2H () , could play in The Final
- Nardi vs Basile H2H () , could play in The Final
- Nardi vs Fatic H2H () , could play in The Final
- Nardi vs Svrcina H2H () , could play in The Final
- Passaro vs Nardi H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
- Pellegrino vs Nardi H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Luka Pavlovic
- Pavlovic vs Arnaboldi H2H (undefined), could play in The Final
- Pavlovic vs Basile H2H (undefined), could play in The Final
- Pavlovic vs Fatic H2H (undefined), could play in The Final
- Pavlovic vs Svrcina H2H (undefined), could play in The Final
- Passaro vs Pavlovic H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
- Pellegrino vs Pavlovic H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals