Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction – ATP Wimbledon – 5th July 2025 Best Bets

Brandon Nakashima and Lorenzo Sonego Prediction Head To Head Summary

Nakashima vs Sonego Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nakashima has a 61.73% chance to win this match.

Nakashima → 1.62. Sonego → 2.36.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Nakashima vs Sonego Upcoming Match Details:

Nakashima will play Sonego on Grass court in the Third round at the ATP Wimbledon event in London Men’s Singles 2025 on 5th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Nakashima 0-1 Sonego

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Nakashima comes into this match with a ranking of 34 , while Sonego is ranked 47.

Nakashima vs Sonego Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Sonego has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Nakashima has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Sonego has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Nakashima has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Sonego has been saving 61% of his breakpoints, and Nakashima has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Sonego performs best on Clay, winning 59% (W/L 203/141) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 49% (W/L 81/84). Nakashima performs best on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 65/28), and performs worse on Clay, winning 50% (W/L 35/35).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Lorenzo Sonego has converted 29% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Brandon Nakashima has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Brandon Nakashima played Reilly Opelka in the Second round at the Wimbledon – London and won 7-5 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3 in 02:26:00 . Lorenzo Sonego played Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Second round at the Wimbledon – London and won 6-1 6-3 6-7(3) 7-6 in 03:02:00.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Brandon Nakashima and Lorenzo Sonego

Of their last 10 matches played, Nakashima has won 6, while Sonego has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Grass in recent matches, Nakashima has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 243.08 , while Sonego has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 34% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 256.96.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Nakashima Vs Sonego

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Nakashima has won 8 titles in his career, while Lorenzo Sonego has won 10 events. Nakashima has won 52% (31504 of 60887) of points played in his entire career, and Sonego has achieved 51% (45638 of 89886). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Nakashima has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (126 of 226), whereas Lorenzo Sonego has won 51% (146 of 285). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Brandon Nakashima has an 53.94% probability of winning this match.

Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Brandon Nakashima To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Brandon Nakashima has a 53.94% chance of winning and Lorenzo Sonego has a 46.06% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nakashima to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Wimbledon – London, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Brandon Nakashima

• Ofner vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Dimitrov vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Portero vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Sinner vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Fucsovics vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The Fourth round
• Shelton vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The Fourth round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Lorenzo Sonego

• Ofner vs Sonego H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Dimitrov vs Sonego H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Portero vs Sonego H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Sinner vs Sonego H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Fucsovics vs Sonego H2H (undefined), could play in The Fourth round
• Shelton vs Sonego H2H (undefined), could play in The Fourth round