Brandon Nakashima vs Cameron Norrie Prediction – ATP Citi Open – 24th July 2025 Best Bets

Brandon Nakashima and Cameron Norrie Prediction Head To Head Summary

Nakashima vs Norrie Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nakashima has a 52.63% chance to win this match.

Nakashima → 1.9. Norrie → 1.91.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Nakashima vs Norrie Upcoming Match Details:

Nakashima will play Norrie on Hard court in the Third round at the ATP Citi Open event in Washington Men’s Singles 2025 on 24th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Nakashima 1-3 Norrie

The current Head to Head score is 1-3. Nakashima comes into this match with a ranking of 32 , while Norrie is ranked 41.

Nakashima vs Norrie Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Norrie has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Nakashima has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Norrie has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Nakashima has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Norrie has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Nakashima has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Norrie performs best on Hard, winning 68% (W/L 231/111) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 49% (W/L 49/50). Nakashima performs best on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 65/28), and performs worse on Clay, winning 50% (W/L 35/35).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Cameron Norrie has converted 30% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Brandon Nakashima has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Brandon Nakashima played Ethan Quinn in the Second round at the Citi Open – Washington and won 6-3 6-4 in 01:20:55 . Cameron Norrie played Lorenzo Musetti in the Second round at the Citi Open – Washington and won 3-6 6-2 6-3 in 02:06:40.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Brandon Nakashima and Cameron Norrie

Of their last 10 matches played, Nakashima has won 7, while Norrie has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Nakashima has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 102.92 , while Norrie has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 85.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Nakashima Vs Norrie

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Nakashima has won 8 titles in his career, while Cameron Norrie has won 13 events. Nakashima has won 52% (31762 of 61387) of points played in his entire career, and Norrie has achieved 51% (46296 of 90588). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Nakashima has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (127 of 230), whereas Cameron Norrie has won 51% (109 of 213). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Brandon Nakashima has an 57.38% probability of winning this match.

Brandon Nakashima vs Cameron Norrie Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Brandon Nakashima To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Brandon Nakashima has a 57.38% chance of winning and Cameron Norrie has a 42.62% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nakashima to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Citi Open – Washington, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Brandon Nakashima

• Moutet vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The Second round
• Evans vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The Second round
• Wu vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The Second round
• Medvedev vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The Second round
• Lehecka vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The First round
• Minaur vs Nakashima H2H () , could play in The First round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Cameron Norrie

• Moutet vs Norrie H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
• Evans vs Norrie H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
• Wu vs Norrie H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
• Medvedev vs Norrie H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
• Lehecka vs Norrie H2H (undefined), could play in The First round
• Minaur vs Norrie H2H (undefined), could play in The First round