Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Gaston Prediction – ATP Bordeaux Challenger – 14th May 2025 Best Bets

Sumit Nagal and Hugo Gaston Prediction Head To Head Summary

Nagal vs Gaston Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Gaston has a 80.65% chance to win this match.

Nagal → 4.25. Gaston → 1.24.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Nagal vs Gaston Upcoming Match Details:

Nagal will play Gaston on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Bordeaux Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 14th May 2025.

Head-to-Head: Nagal 0-1 Gaston

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Nagal comes into this match with a ranking of 169 , while Gaston is ranked 78.

Nagal vs Gaston Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Gaston has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Nagal has won 40% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Gaston has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Nagal has won 30%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Gaston has been saving 55% of his breakpoints, and Nagal has saved 50% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Gaston performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 134/88) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 44% (W/L 7/9). Nagal performs best on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 232/141), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Hugo Gaston has converted 32% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sumit Nagal has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sumit Nagal played Guy Den Ouden in the First round at the Prague Challenger and lost 6-1 6-1 in 01:11:12 . Hugo Gaston played Nicolas Jarry in the First round at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – Rome and lost 7-6(4) 6-4 in 01:51:52.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sumit Nagal and Hugo Gaston

Of their last 10 matches played, Nagal has won 4, while Gaston has won 3. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Nagal has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Gaston has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Nagal Vs Gaston

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Nagal has won 17 titles in his career, while Hugo Gaston has won 8 events. Nagal has won 51% (36563 of 71459) of points played in his entire career, and Gaston has achieved 50% (31360 of 62423). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Nagal has won 58% of tie breaks in his entire career (84 of 145), whereas Hugo Gaston has won 58% (87 of 151). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Hugo Gaston has an 67.36% probability of winning this match.

Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Gaston Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Hugo Gaston To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sumit Nagal has a 32.64% chance of winning and Hugo Gaston has a 67.36% chance of taking the victory. We tip Gaston to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Bordeaux Challenger, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sumit Nagal

• Atmane vs Nagal H2H () , could play in The Second round