Lorenzo Musetti and Alex De Minaur Prediction Head To Head Summary
Musetti vs Minaur Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Musetti has a 53.48% chance to win this match.
Musetti → 2. Minaur → 1.87.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Musetti vs Minaur Upcoming Match Details:
Musetti will play Minaur on I.hard court in the Robin round at the ATP Nitto ATP Finals event in Turin Men’s Singles 2025 on 11th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Musetti 3-1 Minaur
The current Head to Head score is 3-1. Musetti comes into this match with a ranking of 9 , while Minaur is ranked 7.
Musetti vs Minaur Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Minaur has won 46% of points on his second serve, while Musetti has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Minaur has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Musetti has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Minaur has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Musetti has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Minaur performs best on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/25) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/56). Musetti performs best on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 141/71), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 48% (W/L 40/44).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Alex De Minaur has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Lorenzo Musetti has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Lorenzo Musetti played Taylor Fritz in the Robin round at the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:42:09 . Alex De Minaur played Carlos Alcaraz in the Robin round at the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin and lost 7-6(5) 6-2 in 01:40:07.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Musetti Vs Minaur
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Musetti has won 6 titles in his career, while Alex De Minaur has won 14 events. Musetti has won 51% (34362 of 67284) of points played in his entire career, and Minaur has achieved 52% (48989 of 94687). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Musetti has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (99 of 177), whereas Alex De Minaur has won 56% (131 of 233). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Lorenzo Musetti has an 53.82% probability of winning this match.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Lorenzo Musetti has a 53.82% chance of winning and Alex De Minaur has a 46.18% chance of taking the victory. We tip Musetti to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin.
