Humbert vs Berrettini Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Berrettini has a 55.56% chance to win this match.
Humbert → 1.9. Berrettini → 1.8.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Humbert vs Berrettini Upcoming Match Details:
Humbert will play Berrettini on I.hard court in the Second round at the ATP BNP Paribas Nordic Open event in Stockholm Men’s Singles 2025 on 16th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Humbert 1-3 Berrettini
The current Head to Head score is 1-3. Humbert comes into this match with a ranking of 25 , while Berrettini is ranked 61.
Humbert vs Berrettini Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Berrettini has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Humbert has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Berrettini has won 21% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Humbert has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 39% and 41% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Berrettini has been saving 62% of his breakpoints, and Humbert has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Berrettini performs best on Grass, winning 78% (W/L 45/13) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 55% (W/L 37/30). Humbert performs best on Hard, winning 64% (W/L 152/86), and performs worse on Clay, winning 47% (W/L 50/57).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Matteo Berrettini has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Ugo Humbert has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Ugo Humbert played Holger Rune in the Third round at the Shanghai Rolex Masters – Shanghai and lost 6-4 6-4 in 01:34:34 . Matteo Berrettini played Giulio Zeppieri in the First round at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm and won 6-4 6-2 in 01:20:32.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Humbert has won 20 titles in his career, while Matteo Berrettini has won 15 events. Humbert has won 51% (45016 of 87734) of points played in his entire career, and Berrettini has achieved 52% (38493 of 74254). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Humbert has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (134 of 273), whereas Matteo Berrettini has won 56% (154 of 277). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Matteo Berrettini has an 65.78% probability of winning this match.
Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettini Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Matteo Berrettini To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Ugo Humbert has a 34.22% chance of winning and Matteo Berrettini has a 65.78% chance of taking the victory. We tip Berrettini to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Ugo Humbert
- Kecmanovic vs Humbert H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Etcheverry vs Humbert H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Fucsovics vs Humbert H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Rune vs Humbert H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Humbert vs Sonego H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Matteo Berrettini
- Kecmanovic vs Berrettini H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Etcheverry vs Berrettini H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Fucsovics vs Berrettini H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Rune vs Berrettini H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Berrettini vs Sonego H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
