Matteo Gigante and Alexander Bublik Prediction Head To Head Summary

Gigante vs Bublik Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Bublik has a 58.82% chance to win this match.
Gigante → 2.09. Bublik → 1.7.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Gigante vs Bublik Upcoming Match Details:
Gigante will play Bublik on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Turin Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 13th May 2025.
Head-to-Head: Gigante 0-0 Bublik
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Gigante comes into this match with a ranking of 164 , while Bublik is ranked 76.
Gigante vs Bublik Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Bublik has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Gigante has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Bublik has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Gigante has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Bublik has been saving 62% of his breakpoints, and Gigante has saved 49% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Bublik performs best on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 109/67) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 50% (W/L 63/64). Gigante performs best on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 56/23), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 26% (W/L 9/25).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Alexander Bublik has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Matteo Gigante has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Matteo Gigante played Jakub Mensik in the Second round at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – Rome and lost 7-6(4) 7-5 in 01:42:18 . Alexander Bublik played Casper Ruud in the Second round at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – Rome and lost 6-4 4-6 6-3 in 01:56:58.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Matteo Gigante and Alexander Bublik
Of their last 10 matches played, Gigante has won 6, while Bublik has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Gigante has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Bublik has won 44% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Gigante Vs Bublik

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Gigante has won 6 titles in his career, while Alexander Bublik has won 17 events. Gigante has won 51% (18384 of 36194) of points played in his entire career, and Bublik has achieved 50% (44336 of 88527). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Gigante has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (47 of 83), whereas Alexander Bublik has won 54% (137 of 254). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alexander Bublik has an 55.59% probability of winning this match.
Matteo Gigante vs Alexander Bublik Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alexander Bublik To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Matteo Gigante has a 44.41% chance of winning and Alexander Bublik has a 55.59% chance of taking the victory. We tip Bublik to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Turin Challenger, go here.