Damir Dzumhur vs Mathias Bourgue Prediction – ATP Bordeaux Challenger – 13th May 2025 Best Bets

Damir Dzumhur and Mathias Bourgue Prediction Head To Head Summary

Dzumhur vs Bourgue Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Dzumhur has a 93.46% chance to win this match.

Dzumhur → 1.07. Bourgue → 11.32.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Dzumhur vs Bourgue Upcoming Match Details:

Dzumhur will play Bourgue on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Bordeaux Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 13th May 2025.

Head-to-Head: Dzumhur 1-0 Bourgue

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Dzumhur comes into this match with a ranking of 69 , while Bourgue is ranked 515.

Dzumhur vs Bourgue Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Bourgue has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Dzumhur has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Bourgue has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Dzumhur has won 34%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Bourgue has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Dzumhur has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Bourgue performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 264/179) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 43% (W/L 3/4). Dzumhur performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 315/185), and performs worse on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 16/17).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Mathias Bourgue has converted 22% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Damir Dzumhur has converted 40% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Damir Dzumhur played Vilius Gaubas in the First round at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – Rome and lost 7-6(3) 2-6 6-4 in 02:27:31 . Mathias Bourgue played Leo Raquillet in the First round at the M25 Angers and lost 6-4 6-1 in 01:04:25.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Damir Dzumhur and Mathias Bourgue

Of their last 10 matches played, Dzumhur has won 5, while Bourgue has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Dzumhur has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points , while Bourgue has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Dzumhur Vs Bourgue

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Dzumhur has won 35 titles in his career, while Mathias Bourgue has won 13 events. Dzumhur has won 51% (59736 of 117853) of points played in his entire career, and Bourgue has achieved 51% (43801 of 86297). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Dzumhur has won 50% of tie breaks in his entire career (140 of 279), whereas Mathias Bourgue has won 55% (144 of 263). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Damir Dzumhur has an 93.96% probability of winning this match.

Damir Dzumhur vs Mathias Bourgue Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Damir Dzumhur To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Damir Dzumhur has a 93.96% chance of winning and Mathias Bourgue has a 6.04% chance of taking the victory. We tip Dzumhur to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Bordeaux Challenger, go here.