Novak Djokovic and Lorenzo Musetti Prediction Head To Head Summary

Djokovic vs Musetti Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Djokovic has a 64.52% chance to win this match.
Djokovic → 1.55. Musetti → 2.55.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Djokovic vs Musetti Upcoming Match Details:
Djokovic will play Musetti on I.hard court in the Final at the ATP Hellenic Championship event in Athens Men’s Singles 2025 on 8th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Djokovic 8-1 Musetti
The current Head to Head score is 8-1. Djokovic comes into this match with a ranking of 5 , while Musetti is ranked 9.
Djokovic vs Musetti Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Musetti has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Djokovic has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Musetti has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Djokovic has won 21%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 41% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Musetti has been saving 50% of his breakpoints, and Djokovic has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Musetti performs best on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 141/71) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 49% (W/L 40/42). Djokovic performs best on Hard, winning 86% (W/L 560/93), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 80% (W/L 204/52).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Lorenzo Musetti has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Novak Djokovic has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Novak Djokovic played Yannick Hanfmann in the Semifinals at the Hellenic Championship – Athens and won 6-3 6-4 in 01:19:07 . Lorenzo Musetti played Sebastian Korda in the Semifinals at the Hellenic Championship – Athens and won 6-0 5-7 7-5 in 02:20:21.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Djokovic Vs Musetti

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Djokovic has won 115 titles in his career, while Lorenzo Musetti has won 6 events. Djokovic has won 55% (116403 of 213367) of points played in his entire career, and Musetti has achieved 51% (34207 of 66949). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Djokovic has won 65% of tie breaks in his entire career (368 of 567), whereas Lorenzo Musetti has won 56% (99 of 177). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Novak Djokovic has an 77.43% probability of winning this match.
Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Novak Djokovic To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Novak Djokovic has a 77.43% chance of winning and Lorenzo Musetti has a 22.57% chance of taking the victory. We tip Djokovic to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Hellenic Championship – Athens.







