Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Gauthier Onclin Prediction – ATP Lyon Challenger – 13th June 2025 Best Bets

Pablo Carreno-Busta and Gauthier Onclin Prediction Head To Head Summary

Carreno-Busta vs Onclin Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Carreno-Busta has a 66.23% chance to win this match.

Carreno-Busta → 1.51. Onclin → 2.55.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Carreno-Busta vs Onclin Upcoming Match Details:

Carreno-Busta will play Onclin on Clay court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP Lyon Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 13th June 2025.

Head-to-Head: Carreno-Busta 0-0 Onclin

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Carreno-Busta comes into this match with a ranking of 93 , while Onclin is ranked 221.

Carreno-Busta vs Onclin Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Onclin has won 41% of points on his second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Onclin has won 32% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 51% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Onclin has been saving 49% of his breakpoints, and Carreno-Busta has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Onclin performs best on Hard, winning 65% (W/L 80/44) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 33% (W/L 1/2). Carreno-Busta performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 350/182), and performs worse on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Gauthier Onclin has converted 39% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Pablo Carreno-Busta played Javier Barranco Cosano in the Second round at the Lyon Challenger and won 6-1 6-3 in 01:23:20 . Gauthier Onclin played Lucas Poullain in the Second round at the Lyon Challenger and won 7-5 7-6(4) in 02:20:48.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Pablo Carreno-Busta and Gauthier Onclin

Of their last 10 matches played, Carreno-Busta has won 4, while Onclin has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Carreno-Busta has won 46% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 247.33 , while Onclin has won 47% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 300.22.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Carreno-Busta Vs Onclin

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Carreno-Busta has won 32 titles in his career, while Gauthier Onclin has won 13 events. Carreno-Busta has won 51% (56051 of 109755) of points played in his entire career, and Onclin has achieved 52% (26047 of 50358). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Carreno-Busta has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (203 of 359), whereas Gauthier Onclin has won 56% (50 of 89). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Pablo Carreno-Busta has an 71.56% probability of winning this match.

Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Gauthier Onclin Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Pablo Carreno-Busta To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Pablo Carreno-Busta has a 71.56% chance of winning and Gauthier Onclin has a 28.44% chance of taking the victory. We tip Carreno-Busta to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Lyon Challenger, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Pablo Carreno-Busta

• Carreno-Busta vs Assche H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Carreno-Busta vs Aguilar H2H () , could play in The Semifinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Gauthier Onclin

• Onclin vs Assche H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Onclin vs Aguilar H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals