Mattia Bellucci vs Henrique Rocha Prediction &#8211; ATP Sumter Challenger &#8211; 14th August 2025 Best Bets

Mattia Bellucci and Henrique Rocha Prediction Head To Head Summary

Bellucci vs Rocha Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Bellucci has a 69.93% chance to win this match.

Bellucci → 1.43. Rocha → 2.82.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Bellucci vs Rocha Upcoming Match Details:

Bellucci will play Rocha on Hard court in the Second round at the ATP Sumter Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 14th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Bellucci 0-0 Rocha

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Bellucci comes into this match with a ranking of 74 , while Rocha is ranked 171.

Bellucci vs Rocha Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Rocha has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Bellucci has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Rocha has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Bellucci has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Rocha has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Bellucci has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Surface prediction: Rocha performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 76/38) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 33% (W/L 3/6). Bellucci performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 135/71), and performs worse on Grass, winning 55% (W/L 16/13).
In play break point conversion prediction: Henrique Rocha has converted 28% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Mattia Bellucci has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Mattia Bellucci played Damir Dzumhur in the First round at the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati and lost 7-6(7) 7-6(5) in 02:23:20 . Henrique Rocha played Martin Damm in the First round at the Sumter Challenger and won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in 01:52:24.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Bellucci Vs Rocha Prediction Stats At Sumter Challenger Day 4

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Mattia Bellucci and Henrique Rocha

Of their last 10 matches played, Bellucci has won 5, while Rocha has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Bellucci has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 228.73 , while Rocha has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 418.35.
Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Bellucci Vs Rocha

Bellucci Vs Rocha Prediction H2H & All Sumter Challenger Day 4 Predictions

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Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Bellucci has won 9 titles in his career, while Henrique Rocha has won 8 events. Bellucci has won 51% (26588 of 52093) of points played in his entire career, and Rocha has achieved 51% (17052 of 33561). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Bellucci has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (76 of 135), whereas Henrique Rocha has won 54% (37 of 69). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Mattia Bellucci has an 72.36% probability of winning this match.

Mattia Bellucci vs Henrique Rocha Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Mattia Bellucci To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Mattia Bellucci has a 72.36% chance of winning and Henrique Rocha has a 27.64% chance of taking the victory. We tip Bellucci to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Sumter Challenger, go here.