Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka Prediction – WTA Miami – 22nd March 2025 Best Bets

Hailey Baptiste and Naomi Osaka Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baptiste vs Osaka Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Osaka has a 27.55% win this match.

Baptiste → 3.63. Osaka → 1.34.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Baptiste vs Osaka Upcoming Match Details:

Baptiste will play Osaka on Hard court in the Third round at the WTA Miami Open event in Miami Women’s Singles 2025 on 22nd March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baptiste 0-1 Osaka

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Baptiste comes into this match with a ranking of 98 , while Osaka is ranked 61.

Baptiste vs Osaka Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Osaka has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Baptiste has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Osaka has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baptiste has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Osaka has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Baptiste has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Osaka performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 217/109) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 55% (W/L 21/17). Baptiste performs best on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 85/52), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 7/7).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Naomi Osaka has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Hailey Baptiste has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Hailey Baptiste played Daria Kasatkina in the Second round at the Miami Open – Miami and won 3-6 6-4 7-5 in 02:20:28 . Naomi Osaka played Liudmila Samsonova in the Second round at the Miami Open – Miami and won 6-2 6-4 in 01:22:11.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Hailey Baptiste and Naomi Osaka

Of their last 10 matches played, Baptiste has won 6, while Osaka has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Baptiste has won 50% of her own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points , while Osaka has won 51% of her own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baptiste Vs Osaka

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baptiste has won 4 titles in her career, while Naomi Osaka has won 7 events. Baptiste has won 51% (22928 of 44909) of points played in her entire career, and Osaka has achieved 52% (25361 of 48785). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baptiste has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (50 of 87), whereas Naomi Osaka has won 51% (55 of 108). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Naomi Osaka has an 86.79% probability of winning this match.

Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi Osaka Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Naomi Osaka To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Hailey Baptiste has a 13.21% chance of winning and Naomi Osaka has a 86.79% chance of taking the victory. We tip Osaka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Miami Open – Miami, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Hailey Baptiste

• Fruhvirtova vs Baptiste H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Linette vs Baptiste H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Sakkari vs Baptiste H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Gauff vs Baptiste H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Baptiste vs Paolini H2H (1-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baptiste vs Jabeur H2H (0-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Naomi Osaka

• Fruhvirtova vs Osaka H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Linette vs Osaka H2H (1-2) , could play in The Semifinals
• Sakkari vs Osaka H2H (2-3) , could play in The Semifinals
• Gauff vs Osaka H2H (3-2) , could play in The Semifinals
• Osaka vs Paolini H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Osaka vs Jabeur H2H (2-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals