Sebastian Baez and Alvaro Guillen Meza Prediction Head To Head Summary
Baez vs Meza Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Baez has a 75.19% chance to win this match.
Baez → 1.33. Meza → 3.28.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Baez vs Meza Upcoming Match Details:
Baez will play Meza on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Montevideo Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 12th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Baez 0-0 Meza
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Baez comes into this match with a ranking of 45 , while Meza is ranked 200.
Baez vs Meza Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Meza has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Baez has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Meza has won 32% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baez has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Meza has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Baez has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Meza performs best on Clay, winning 61% (W/L 170/110) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 0% (W/L 0/1). Baez performs best on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 229/102), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 12% (W/L 3/22).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Alvaro Guillen Meza has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Baez has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Baez played Cameron Norrie in the First round at the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:24:49 . Alvaro Guillen Meza played Tomas Barrios Vera in the Semifinals at the Lima 3 Challenger and lost 6-2 7-5 in 02:06:57.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baez Vs Meza
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Baez has won 18 titles in his career, while Alvaro Guillen Meza has won 8 events. Baez has won 51% (32647 of 63625) of points played in his entire career, and Meza has achieved 51% (18998 of 37112). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baez has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (67 of 131), whereas Alvaro Guillen Meza has won 51% (40 of 78). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sebastian Baez has an 67.77% probability of winning this match.
Sebastian Baez vs Alvaro Guillen Meza Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sebastian Baez To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Baez has a 67.77% chance of winning and Alvaro Guillen Meza has a 32.23% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baez to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Montevideo Challenger.
